|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Pierces 200-DMA, key resistance line as Canada Inflation, Fed Minutes loom

  • USD/CAD takes the bids to refresh intraday high, jostles with crucial resistances.
  • Bullish MACD signals, sustained upside break of four-month-old rising trend line favor Loonie pair buyers.
  • Sellers need validation from April’s low to retake control.

USD/CAD crosses the 200-DMA hurdle as bulls attack the five-month-old descending resistance line early Monday in Europe. In doing so, the Loonie pair justifies the retreat in the WTI crude oil prices, Canada’s key export item, while taking clues from the firmer US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar amid sour sentiment. That said, the major currency pair rises 0.11% intraday to near 1.3460 by the press time.

Also read: USD/CAD holds ground near the 1.3440 mark, eyes on Canadian CPI, US Retail Sales

Apart from the aforementioned fundamentals, a successful break of the rising trend line from April 14, close to 1.3400, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the USD/CAD buyers hopeful.

However, a daily closing beyond the stated resistance line, close to 1.3460 at the latest, becomes necessary for the Loonie pair buyers to keep the reins.

Also likely to challenge the USD/CAD buyers is the monthly high of near 1.3500, a break of which could propel the prices toward a horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since late April, close to 1.3655–70.

On the flip side, USD/CAD sellers will seek a daily closing beneath the 200-DMA level of 1.3450 to rethink returning from the camp.

Even so, a four-month-long rising trend line near 1.3400 will test the Loonie pair’s downside before giving control to the bears.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3458
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.12%
Today daily open1.3442
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.328
Daily SMA501.3268
Daily SMA1001.3388
Daily SMA2001.345
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3466
Previous Daily Low1.3412
Previous Weekly High1.3502
Previous Weekly Low1.3356
Previous Monthly High1.3387
Previous Monthly Low1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3433
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3446
Daily Pivot Point S11.3415
Daily Pivot Point S21.3387
Daily Pivot Point S31.3361
Daily Pivot Point R11.3468
Daily Pivot Point R21.3494
Daily Pivot Point R31.3522

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold buying remains unabated; fresh all-time peak and counting

Gold builds on the previous day's blowout rally through the $4,400 mark and continues scaling new record highs through the Asian session on Tuesday. Bets for more interest rate cuts by the US Fed, renewed US Dollar selling bias, and rising geopolitical uncertainties turn out to be key factors driving flows towards the bullion. Traders now look to the delayed release of the revised US Q3 GDP print and US Durable Goods Orders for a fresh impetus.

Year ahead 2026: Where will Bitcoin be in a year’s time?

Bitcoin, which accounts for roughly 60% of total crypto market capitalization, entered 2025 with unstoppable momentum under a crypto‑friendly Trump administration. The rally was supported by major regulatory wins and accelerating institutional adoption.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.