|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Mildly offered at fortnight low near 1.2850, further downside expected

  • USD/CAD drops for the third consecutive day, extends pullback from six-week-old horizontal resistance.
  • Downbeat RSI favors bears targeting 200-SMA, double tops challenge the advances.

USD/CAD prints a three-day downtrend as sellers flirt with the lowest levels in two weeks around 1.2860 during early Thursday morning in Europe.

The Loonie pair’s latest losses could be linked to the early week failure to cross a six-week-old horizontal resistance, as well as downbeat RSI (14).

With this, the USD/CAD sellers aim for the 100-SMA level surrounding 1.2840. However, the nearly oversold RSI conditions and the 200-SMA level, around 1.2805 by the press time, could restrict the quote’s further weakness.

In a case where the pair drops below 1.2805, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of April-June upside, respectively around 1.2770 and 1.2700, will be on the bear’s radar.

Meanwhile, USD/CAD bulls need a clear upside break of the 1.2900 mark, comprising the aforementioned horizontal area, to retake control.

Even so, the 1.3000 psychological magnet and the double tops marked around 1.3080 will be tough nuts to crack for the pair buyers.

Should the quote remains firmer past 1.3080, the odds of witnessing a rally towards the late 2020 peaks above 1.3400 can’t be ruled out.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2862
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open1.2879
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2798
Daily SMA501.2807
Daily SMA1001.2732
Daily SMA2001.2678
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2916
Previous Daily Low1.2865
Previous Weekly High1.3039
Previous Weekly Low1.289
Previous Monthly High1.3077
Previous Monthly Low1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2884
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2897
Daily Pivot Point S11.2857
Daily Pivot Point S21.2835
Daily Pivot Point S31.2805
Daily Pivot Point R11.2909
Daily Pivot Point R21.2939
Daily Pivot Point R31.2961

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tumbles below 1.1800 as Middle East turmoil drives US Dollar demand

The EUR/USD pair falls to near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by a renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gathers strength against the Euro as the conflict across the Middle East is heightening traders' anxiety, boosting the safe-haven currencies. 

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold seen through the roof as US, Israel and Iran war enters day 3

Gold is set for a huge bullish opening gap in Asian trading on Monday, with a flight to safety rush likely to sponsor the upsurge after the US and Israel struck Iran with heavy bombings over the weekend. More geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict and Oil price movement remain in focus. 

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Oil at a critical breakpoint: Will geopolitics trigger the next major move?

The week ahead blends two powerful forces: moderating economic momentum and increasing geopolitical tension. While US and Eurozone data suggest steady but unspectacular growth, rising friction between the US and Iran is injecting a fresh risk premium into energy markets.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.