|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Hovers above 1.3650 major level on surging US Dollar

  • USD/CAD moves above 1.3650 due to the upbeat US Dollar.
  • Technical indicators suggest a bullish momentum in the price movement.
  • The nine-day EMA emerges as immediate support, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.

USD/CAD snaps the two-day losing streak, trading higher around 1.3670 aligned with the 1.3700 psychological level during the early European session on Monday. The pair is receiving upward support due to a recovery in the US Dollar (USD).

A firm break above the latter could open the doors for the USD/CAD pair to explore an area near the major level at 1.3750 lined up with the previous week’s high at 1.3785, following the 1.3800 psychological level.

However, the USD/CAD pair faced downward pressure due to surging oil prices, which could be attributed to the Palestine-Israel military conflict.

The deteriorating geopolitical tensions could impact the Canadian Dollar (CAD), especially since Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States (US).

On the downside, the psychological level at 1.3650 could act as an immediate barrier lined up with the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3643, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3622 level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is indicating stronger momentum in the price movement as it lies above the centerline and the signal line. This configuration suggests an upward trend in the market.

However, the prevailing upward momentum in the USD/CAD pair indicates a bullish bias, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 50 level.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

USD/CAD: important levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1.3671
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.3662
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3555
Daily SMA501.3522
Daily SMA1001.3414
Daily SMA2001.3462
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3746
Previous Daily Low1.3644
Previous Weekly High1.3786
Previous Weekly Low1.3562
Previous Monthly High1.3694
Previous Monthly Low1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3683
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3707
Daily Pivot Point S11.3622
Daily Pivot Point S21.3582
Daily Pivot Point S31.3519
Daily Pivot Point R11.3724
Daily Pivot Point R21.3786
Daily Pivot Point R31.3826

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slips toward 1.3350 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD erases recovery gains and slips toward 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, tempering the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. Traders also assess the ongoing Mideast tensions amid a pause in the US Dollar uptrend.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1400 amid US Dollar retreat

EUR/USD holds positive ground above 1.1400 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by hawkish ECB expectations and a broad US Dollar retreat. However, persisting Middle East tensions and surging Oil prices keep the pair's upside elusive.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.