|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Hovers above 1.3650 major level on surging US Dollar

  • USD/CAD moves above 1.3650 due to the upbeat US Dollar.
  • Technical indicators suggest a bullish momentum in the price movement.
  • The nine-day EMA emerges as immediate support, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.

USD/CAD snaps the two-day losing streak, trading higher around 1.3670 aligned with the 1.3700 psychological level during the early European session on Monday. The pair is receiving upward support due to a recovery in the US Dollar (USD).

A firm break above the latter could open the doors for the USD/CAD pair to explore an area near the major level at 1.3750 lined up with the previous week’s high at 1.3785, following the 1.3800 psychological level.

However, the USD/CAD pair faced downward pressure due to surging oil prices, which could be attributed to the Palestine-Israel military conflict.

The deteriorating geopolitical tensions could impact the Canadian Dollar (CAD), especially since Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States (US).

On the downside, the psychological level at 1.3650 could act as an immediate barrier lined up with the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3643, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3622 level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is indicating stronger momentum in the price movement as it lies above the centerline and the signal line. This configuration suggests an upward trend in the market.

However, the prevailing upward momentum in the USD/CAD pair indicates a bullish bias, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 50 level.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

USD/CAD: important levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1.3671
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.3662
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3555
Daily SMA501.3522
Daily SMA1001.3414
Daily SMA2001.3462
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3746
Previous Daily Low1.3644
Previous Weekly High1.3786
Previous Weekly Low1.3562
Previous Monthly High1.3694
Previous Monthly Low1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3683
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3707
Daily Pivot Point S11.3622
Daily Pivot Point S21.3582
Daily Pivot Point S31.3519
Daily Pivot Point R11.3724
Daily Pivot Point R21.3786
Daily Pivot Point R31.3826

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000/three-month low as Fed hike bets and firm USD cap upside

Gold struggles to capitalize on its modest recovery from levels below the $4,000 psychological mark, or a three-month low set earlier this Friday, and retains a bearish tone through the first half of the European session. Federal Reserve officials recently signaled there is no urgency to raise interest rates. Traders, however, are still pricing in around an 80% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs again at its December policy meeting.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple rebound as major support levels cap recent sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple rebound modestly on Friday after correcting and testing their key support zone the previous day. BTC holds the 50-day EMA, ETH finds support around the 100-day EMA, while XRP holds the horizontal floor near $1.300. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a recovery if this critical support zone holds; a decisive close below these levels suggests a deeper correction.

US S&P Global PMI expected to show moderating business activity in October

The United States S&P Global preliminary Purchasing Managers Indices for October will be released on Friday, providing fresh insights into the health of the world's largest economy ahead of next week's Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. The report includes the Manufacturing PMI, Services PMI and Composite PMI, which measure business activity across the private sector.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.