|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Further upside hinges on 1.3450 breakout

  • USD/CAD picks up bids to refresh intraday high.
  • Bulls jostle with a convergence of the 21-DMA and two-week-old resistance line.
  • MACD teases buyers, 100-DMA appears a tough nut to crack for the USD/CAD bears.

USD/CAD renews intraday high around 1.3440 during the second daily run-up amid early Monday.

In doing so, the Loonie pair buyers attack a convergence of the 21-Day Moving Average (DMA) and a downward-sloping from November 10, around 1.3440 by the press time.

It should be noted that the pair’s successful trading above the 100-DMA and steady RSI joins the impending bull cross on the MACD to keep the USD/CAD buyers hopeful of crossing the 1.3440 hurdle.

Following that, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October upside, near 1.3500, will challenge the USD/CAD bulls before directing them to the six-week-old resistance line around 1.3610.

On the flip side, a two-week-old ascending support line, near 1.3320 could restrict the immediate downside of the USD/CAD pair before the 100-DMA support of 1.3275.

In a case where the Loonie pair remains weak past 1.3275, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.3207, quickly followed by the 1.3200 round figure, could act as the last defense of the USD/CAD buyers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to plunging towards 1.3000 psychological magnet.

Overall, USD/CAD is likely to portray further upside but the 1.3610 is a crucial resistance to watch for the pair traders.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.343
Today Daily Change0.0060
Today Daily Change %0.45%
Today daily open1.337
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3438
Daily SMA501.3569
Daily SMA1001.3271
Daily SMA2001.3011
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3398
Previous Daily Low1.3317
Previous Weekly High1.3495
Previous Weekly Low1.3316
Previous Monthly High1.3978
Previous Monthly Low1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3367
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3348
Daily Pivot Point S11.3325
Daily Pivot Point S21.328
Daily Pivot Point S31.3244
Daily Pivot Point R11.3406
Daily Pivot Point R21.3443
Daily Pivot Point R31.3488

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is defending its renewed uptick above 1.3300 in the European session on Friday, helped by stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June. The pair snaps a five-day losing streak but the upside potential could be limited amid heightened military tensions in the Middle East.


EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1400 amid Middle East tensions

EUR/USD is keeping its range below 1.1400 in European trading on Friday. Despite a brief rebound, the pair is trading with caution amid escalating conflicts in the Middle East and following the ECB's no rate change decision.

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,050 amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day, and weakens further below the $4,050 level during the Asian session. Escalating US-Iran tensions support elevated crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and bolstering expectations of higher-for-longer US interest rates. This helps the US Dollar preserve its strong weekly gains to a nearly one-month high, touched on Thursday, and turns out to be a key factor undermining the non-yielding bullion.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support – Pi Network and Sky lead losses

The broader cryptocurrency market faces headwinds with rising tensions between the US and Iran, pushing Bitcoin down to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average support around $65,135 on Friday. Under pressure, Pi Network and Sky emerge as the worst-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.