|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Climbs to 4-month highs above 1.3700

  • USD/CAD climbs past the 1.3700 figure on Powell’s hawkish stance,
  • USD/CAD Price Analysis: Buyers are eyeing 1.3800 after trading at 4-month highs.

The USD/CAD rallied to fresh YTD highs at 1.3743 on the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s comments. Powell added that inflation is high and the Fed could tighten monetary conditions faster depending on the incoming data. Therefore, the USD/CAD jumped from around 1.3670. A the time of writing, the USD/CAD exchanges hands at 1.3744.

USD/CAD Price action

The USD/CAD has extended its gains past the 130 pips in the day, with bulls eyeing to test the November 3 high, which confluences with an upslope trendline that passes around 1.3808. If the USD/CAD pierces the latter, that wound put into play a test of 2022 high at 1.3977. But first, buyers need to reclaim 1.3900, followed by the latter and the psychological 1.4000 mark.

In an alternate scenario, the USD/CAD first support would be the 1.3700 figure for a bearish continuation, followed by the prior’s YTD high at 1.3685. Once cleared, the USD/CAD next support would be March 3, daily low at 1.3550.

It should be noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in bullish territory suggests that bulls are in charge, further cemented by the Rate of Change (RoC) aiming higher.

USD/CAD Daily chart

USD/CAD Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3744
Today Daily Change0.0128
Today Daily Change %0.94
Today daily open1.3616
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3499
Daily SMA501.346
Daily SMA1001.3501
Daily SMA2001.3289
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3629
Previous Daily Low1.3582
Previous Weekly High1.3659
Previous Weekly Low1.3534
Previous Monthly High1.3666
Previous Monthly Low1.3262
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3611
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.36
Daily Pivot Point S11.3589
Daily Pivot Point S21.3562
Daily Pivot Point S31.3543
Daily Pivot Point R11.3636
Daily Pivot Point R21.3656
Daily Pivot Point R31.3683

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).