|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls trying to defend 200-DMA/descending channel confluence support

  • USD/CAD continues losing ground for the second consecutive session on Monday.
  • Bearish traders now await a sustained weakness below the very important 200-DMA.

The USD/CAD pair edged lower for the second consecutive session on Monday – also marking its fifth day of a negative move in the previous six – and dropped to fresh monthly lows in the last hour.

The downward momentum dragged the pair below the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 1.2952-1.3330 positive move, albeit the pair has still managed to hold just above the very important 200-day SMA.

USD/CAD daily chart

fxsoriginal

The mentioned support also coincides with the lower end of a short-term descending trend-channel formation on the 1-hourly chart and should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

USD/CAD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

A convincing break through the said confluence support, currently near the 1.3220 region, will suggest that the pair might have topped out in the near-term and support prospects for further weakness.

The pair might then turn vulnerable and seems more likely to accelerate the slide further towards 38.2% Fibo. level, around the 1.3190 region, before eventually falling to the 1.3140 level (50% Fibo. level).

On the flip side, any attempted bounce might continue to confront some fresh supply near the 1.3265-70 region, above which the pair is likely to aim towards reclaiming the 1.3300 round-figure mark.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3232
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open1.3249
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3218
Daily SMA501.3143
Daily SMA1001.318
Daily SMA2001.322
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.327
Previous Daily Low1.3236
Previous Weekly High1.333
Previous Weekly Low1.3236
Previous Monthly High1.3255
Previous Monthly Low1.29
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3249
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3257
Daily Pivot Point S11.3233
Daily Pivot Point S21.3217
Daily Pivot Point S31.3198
Daily Pivot Point R11.3268
Daily Pivot Point R21.3287
Daily Pivot Point R31.3303

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3500 on softer US Dollar

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar meets fresh supply following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address and amid looming tariff uncertainty. 

Gold eyes monthly top above $5,200 amid geopolitics, trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.