USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls trying to defend 200-DMA/descending channel confluence support


  • USD/CAD continues losing ground for the second consecutive session on Monday.
  • Bearish traders now await a sustained weakness below the very important 200-DMA.

The USD/CAD pair edged lower for the second consecutive session on Monday – also marking its fifth day of a negative move in the previous six – and dropped to fresh monthly lows in the last hour.

The downward momentum dragged the pair below the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 1.2952-1.3330 positive move, albeit the pair has still managed to hold just above the very important 200-day SMA.

USD/CAD daily chart

fxsoriginal

The mentioned support also coincides with the lower end of a short-term descending trend-channel formation on the 1-hourly chart and should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

USD/CAD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

A convincing break through the said confluence support, currently near the 1.3220 region, will suggest that the pair might have topped out in the near-term and support prospects for further weakness.

The pair might then turn vulnerable and seems more likely to accelerate the slide further towards 38.2% Fibo. level, around the 1.3190 region, before eventually falling to the 1.3140 level (50% Fibo. level).

On the flip side, any attempted bounce might continue to confront some fresh supply near the 1.3265-70 region, above which the pair is likely to aim towards reclaiming the 1.3300 round-figure mark.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3232
Today Daily Change -0.0017
Today Daily Change % -0.13
Today daily open 1.3249
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3218
Daily SMA50 1.3143
Daily SMA100 1.318
Daily SMA200 1.322
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.327
Previous Daily Low 1.3236
Previous Weekly High 1.333
Previous Weekly Low 1.3236
Previous Monthly High 1.3255
Previous Monthly Low 1.29
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3249
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3257
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3233
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3217
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3198
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3268
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3287
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3303

 

 

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