|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls brace for a bumpy road to the north as US/Canada data looms

  • USD/CAD grinds higher after positing two-day winning streak.
  • Bullish MACD signals, sustained trading beyond weekly support line favor buyers.
  • Convergence of 100-DMA, four-month-old resistance line appears a tough nut to crack for bulls.

USD/CAD teases buyers around 1.3465-70 heading into Friday’s European session, after a two-day uptrend, as the Loonie pair traders await crucial statistics from Canada and the US.  In doing so, the quote remains indecisive despite printing minor gains by the press time.

Also read: USD/CAD copies Oil’s inaction near mid-1.3400s, Canada employment, early signals for US inflation eyed

Even so, the bullish MACD signals join the pair’s successful trading above the weekly support line, around 1.3390 by the press time, to keep the buyers hopeful.

That said, the 50-DMA level surrounding 1.3500 guards the USD/CAD pair’s immediate upside before the convergence of the 100-DMA and descending resistance line from early October, close to 1.3540 at the latest.

In a case where the Loonie pair manages to stay beyond 1.3540, the previous monthly high of 1.3685 and the December 2022 peak surrounding 1.3705 will act as the last defense of the USD/CAD bears.

On the flip side, a clear break of the weekly support line, near 1.3390, will aim for the weekly low of 1.3360 before highlighting the monthly bottom surrounding 1.3260.

Should the USD/CAD prices remain weak past 1.3260, November 2022 low and the last July’s peak, respectively around 1.3235 and 1.3220, will gain the market’s attention.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3465
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open1.3461
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3388
Daily SMA501.3495
Daily SMA1001.3536
Daily SMA2001.3234
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3463
Previous Daily Low1.3373
Previous Weekly High1.3472
Previous Weekly Low1.3262
Previous Monthly High1.3685
Previous Monthly Low1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3429
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3407
Daily Pivot Point S11.3401
Daily Pivot Point S21.3342
Daily Pivot Point S31.3311
Daily Pivot Point R11.3492
Daily Pivot Point R21.3523
Daily Pivot Point R31.3583

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).