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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears attack six-week-old support line near 1.2750

  • USD/CAD takes offers to refresh intraday low, prints three-day downtrend at two-month bottom.
  • Oversold RSI conditions, short-term key support line challenge bears.
  • Recovery remains elusive until staying below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.

USD/CAD bears keep reins for the third consecutive day around the lowest levels since June 10. That said, the Loonie pair refreshes its intraday low near 1.2745 heading into Friday’s European session.

With this, the quote pokes a 1.5-month-old downward sloping support line, around 1.2750-45 by the press time.

However, the receding bearish bias of MACD and the oversold RSI conditions challenge the sellers’ further dominance.

Also acting as a downside filter is the latest bottom surrounding 1.2730-25 and the 1.2700 threshold.

In a case where USD/CAD prices remain bearish past 1.2700, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of June-July upside, near 1.2665, should return to the charts.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, around 1.2790, as well as the 1.2800 round figure to convince buyers.

Even so, the upside momentum remains doubtful until the quote stays firmer above the 200-SMA, surrounding 1.2910 at the latest.

Overall, USD/CAD remains on the bear’s radar but the immediate downside appears limited.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Corrective pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2749
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open1.2766
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2868
Daily SMA501.2879
Daily SMA1001.2796
Daily SMA2001.2744
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2792
Previous Daily Low1.2728
Previous Weekly High1.2985
Previous Weekly Low1.2768
Previous Monthly High1.3224
Previous Monthly Low1.2789
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2752
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2767
Daily Pivot Point S11.2732
Daily Pivot Point S21.2698
Daily Pivot Point S31.2667
Daily Pivot Point R11.2796
Daily Pivot Point R21.2826
Daily Pivot Point R31.286

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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