|

USD/CAD on the offers around 1.2450, eyes on BOC

  • DXY depressed in Asia
  • WTI remains on the front foot.
  • A quiet NA session ahead.

The USD/CAD pair extends its losing streak into a third day today, as a beleaguered US dollar combined with surging oil prices continue to keep the rates near 3-day troughs near 1.2440.

USD/CAD: Eyes on BOC verdict.

The spot remains suppressed and looks to test the 1.24 handle amid persistent weakness seen in around the US dollar across its major peers, as markets now believe that the Fed isn’t the only central bank to go for higher interest rates this year. The USD index drops -0.10% to 90.53, recovering slightly from three-year lows of 90.39.

On the CAD-side of the story, the prolonged rally in oil prices continues to keep the sentiment buoyed around the resource-linked Loonie, adding to the weight on the CAD pair. Meanwhile, better Canadian fundamentals back the case for a rate hike, when the Bank of Canada (BOC) meets to decide on its monetary policy this Wednesday.

“We expect the BoC to raise the overnight rate by 25bp at Wednesday's meeting. Clear signs of diminished labor market slack and an economy operating at full capacity should outweigh rising trade tensions with the US. Risks around a possible US withdrawal from NAFTA will likely once again be the biggest concern weighing on the BoC, but absent an imminent withdrawal notice, they should feel comfortable bumping up the overnight rate to its post-crisis high of 1.25%,” the RBC Capital Markets Research Team noted.

In the meantime, the USD price-action and broader market sentiment will play the main drivers amid holiday-thinned light trading ahead.

USD/CAD Technical View

The immediate support for the pair aligns at 1.2437 (daily low) ahead of 1.2400 (natural support) and 1.2377 (Jan 8 low). On the upside, resistances could be seen at 1.2469 (daily top), 1.2487 (5-DMA) and 1.2500 (round figure).

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).