|

USD/CAD manages to hold above 1.2800 handle

   •  A goodish pickup in the US bond yields offset subdued USD demand.
   •  Weaker oil prices did little to support the commodity-linked Loonie.

The USD/CAD pair consolidated Friday's slump to 1-1/2 week lows and was seen oscillating in a range just above the 1.2800 handle. 

The US Dollar continues to be weighed down by the latest US monthly jobs report, showing an addition of 313K new jobs but was largely offset by disappointing average hourly earnings. 

The negative factor, to some extent, was negated by a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. This coupled with a subdued action around crude oil prices did little to lend any support to the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and helped the pair to find some support near the 1.2800 handle.

Currently hovering around the 1.2810-15 region, the pair lacked any firm directional bias and now seemed to await for some fresh catalyst. In absence of any major market-moving economic data, the USD/oil price dynamics could play an important role in determining the pair's momentum on the first trading day of the week. 

Moving ahead, this week's important US macro releases, including the latest consumer inflation figures and monthly retail sales data, would now be looked upon for some fresh meaningful impetus.

Technical levels to watch

Recovery attempts beyond 1.2825 level might now confront some fresh supply near the 1.2860 horizontal level, above which the pair is likely to move back towards reclaiming the 1.2900 handle. 

On the flip side, sustained weakness below the 1.2800 round figure mark now seems to pave the way for an extension of the pair's corrective slide towards 1.2760 horizontal support en-route the 1.2700 handle.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.