|

USD/CAD manages to hold above 1.2800 handle

   •  A goodish pickup in the US bond yields offset subdued USD demand.
   •  Weaker oil prices did little to support the commodity-linked Loonie.

The USD/CAD pair consolidated Friday's slump to 1-1/2 week lows and was seen oscillating in a range just above the 1.2800 handle. 

The US Dollar continues to be weighed down by the latest US monthly jobs report, showing an addition of 313K new jobs but was largely offset by disappointing average hourly earnings. 

The negative factor, to some extent, was negated by a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. This coupled with a subdued action around crude oil prices did little to lend any support to the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and helped the pair to find some support near the 1.2800 handle.

Currently hovering around the 1.2810-15 region, the pair lacked any firm directional bias and now seemed to await for some fresh catalyst. In absence of any major market-moving economic data, the USD/oil price dynamics could play an important role in determining the pair's momentum on the first trading day of the week. 

Moving ahead, this week's important US macro releases, including the latest consumer inflation figures and monthly retail sales data, would now be looked upon for some fresh meaningful impetus.

Technical levels to watch

Recovery attempts beyond 1.2825 level might now confront some fresh supply near the 1.2860 horizontal level, above which the pair is likely to move back towards reclaiming the 1.2900 handle. 

On the flip side, sustained weakness below the 1.2800 round figure mark now seems to pave the way for an extension of the pair's corrective slide towards 1.2760 horizontal support en-route the 1.2700 handle.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD declines to near 1.1400 as US launches fresh strikes on Iran

The EUR/USD pair posts modest losses around 1.1410 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Renewed tensions between the United States (US) and Iran continue to fuel risk-off sentiment, weighing on the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD). The ZEW surveys from Germany and the Eurozone are due later on Tuesday.  Also, the US ADP employment report will be released. 

Gold holds above $4,000 as inflation-driven Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold holds steady above $4,000 during the Asian session on Tuesday, though the upside potential seems limited. Inflation fears stemming from elevated oil prices reaffirm bets for higher US interest rates, which, along with an escalation in the Middle East war, continue to underpin the safe-haven US Dollar. This should act as a headwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bullish traders before positioning for any meaningful gains.

Grayscale eyes Worldcoin ETF launch following S-1 filing

Grayscale filed an S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday to launch a Grayscale Worldcoin ETF. The proposed fund, which would trade on Nasdaq under the ticker GWLD, is designed to give investors exposure to Worldcoin through a traditional brokerage account, eliminating the need to buy the token directly.

Here's where the Canadian Dollar is headed next: 4 bearish scenarios and a bullish one
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has ridden a volatile first half of the year, with Oil prices surging and then falling as markets danced to the Middle East’s tune. Neither the Bank of Canada nor the Federal Reserve has changed rates so far this year, and the USD/CAD's next move may depend on which of the two banks fails to deliver what markets expect.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.