|

USD/CAD likely ambles sideways into 2018 - Westpac

In view of Richard Franulovich, Research Analyst at Westpac, USD/CAD likely ambles sideways into 2018, and 1.26-1.30 is likely going to be the range but as growth continues to forge ahead, BoC confidence that the economy can weather more hikes will increase. That should see USD/CAD eventually break lower and retest the 2017 lows around 1.2000 in 2018, he further adds.

Key Quotes

“The BoC has a lukewarm tightening bias - further hikes will be required over time but the Bank will be cautious.” 

“Encouragingly, key releases have begun to surprise on the upside lately, including  GDP, trade and jobs, matching the signals from our very depressed data pulse (i.e. all the bad news is out).”

“Our base case is still intact: risks to both the BoC and consensus projection for 2.1% growth next year are to the upside given Trudeau’s fiscal stimulus is still washing through the economy, US growth prospects are firm and oil prices are at 2 ½ year highs.” 

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains bid, focus stays on 1.1900

EUR/USD has broken its two-day run of losses and is ticking modestly higher on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1880 area as the US Dollar struggles to find clear direction. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose more than expected, taking a bit of shine off the Greenback, but markets are largely in wait-and-see mode ahead of Friday’s US CPI release.

GBP/USD sticks to the bid bias, still below 1.3700

GBP/USD is trading with decent gains around 1.3650 on Thursday. Indeed, Cable is attempting to shake off the weakness seen earlier in the week amid another choppy session for the Greenback, while a run of disappointing UK data has so far failed to derail the pair’s tentative recovery.

Gold recedes slightly, trades below $5,100

Gold remains stuck in choppy trade on Thursday, deflating marginally just below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar drifts without a clear trend. Softer US Treasury yields across the curve are offering some support, but with markets treading carefully ahead of Friday’s US CPI release, conviction remains limited and price action continues to look hesitant.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.