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USD/CAD jumps towards 1.3560 after disappointing Canadian Q2 GDP

  • The Canadian economy unexpectedly contracted during the second quarter.
  • The Loonie tumbles across the board after Canadian GDP data.
  • USD/CAD jumps towards 1.3550 despite broad-based Greenback weakness after NFP.

The USD/CAD broke above 1.3520 and surged to 1.3556, approaching Thursday's highs, following the release of the US employment and Canadian Q2 reports.

Canada's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) unexpectedly contracted at an annual rate of 0.2% in the second quarter, against expectations of a 1.2% expansion. Growth figures from the first quarter were revised lower, from a 3.1% expansion to 2.6%.

The disappointing data weighed on the Loonie, which weakened across the board after the release. Next week, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is set to meet, and no change in policy is expected, especially considering the growth figures. The upside move in USD/CAD was limited due to some weakness in the US dollar following the official US employment report.

Nonfarm Payrolls expanded by 187,000 in July, surpassing the market's expectation of 170,000. The Unemployment Rate rose from 3.5% to 3.8%. Average Hourly Earnings increased 4.3% from a year ago, below the expected 4.45%. The US Dollar Index dropped to 103.25, hitting a fresh daily low, but later trimmed losses to rise to 103.50.

Holding above the 20-day SMA

Early on Friday, USD/CAD bottomed at 1.3489, the lowest level since August 16. It then rebounded moderately, gaining upside momentum after the data.

The pair is currently rising after falling for four consecutive days and is holding above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) that stands at 1.3515.

On the weekly chart, USD/CAD is still down and is on track to post its first weekly decline after six consecutive weeks of gains.

Technical levels 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3544
Today Daily Change0.0035
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open1.3509
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3503
Daily SMA501.3338
Daily SMA1001.3394
Daily SMA2001.3462
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3558
Previous Daily Low1.3504
Previous Weekly High1.364
Previous Weekly Low1.3496
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3525
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3537
Daily Pivot Point S11.3489
Daily Pivot Point S21.347
Daily Pivot Point S31.3436
Daily Pivot Point R11.3543
Daily Pivot Point R21.3577
Daily Pivot Point R31.3596


 

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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