|

USD/CAD in search of a firm direction, flat-lined below 1.3400 mark

  • USD/CAD seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses through the North American session.
  • A pickup in oil prices underpinned the loonie and partly offset a broad-based USD strength.
  • Stronger macro data from the US and Canada held investors from placing any aggressive bets.

The USD/CAD pair refreshed daily lows during the early North American session, albeit lacked any strong follow-through and quickly recovered around 25 pips thereafter.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its early uptick and witnessed a modest intraday pullback from the top end of a one-week-old trading range, around the 1.3420 region. However, a combination of factors extended some support and helped limit any deeper losses for the USD/CAD pair.

The US dollar was back in demand on Wednesday in reaction to a chaotic end of the US presidential debate and maintained its bid tone following the release of upbeat US macro data. The US ADP report showed that private-sector employers added 749K new jobs in September.

Adding to this, the final version of the US GDP print was revised higher to show that the economy contracted by 31.4% during the second quarter of 2020 as against 31.7% estimated. Separately, Chicago PMI beat expectations by a big margin and surged to 62.4 for September.

Meanwhile, the monthly Canadian GDP report showed that the economy recorded a growth of 3% in July, lower than the previous month's 6.5% rise. This, coupled with a modest uptick in crude oil prices, extended some support to the commodity-linked loonie and exerted some pressure.

Stronger economic data from both the US and Canada held investors from placing any aggressive bets. This coupled with the fact that the USD/CAD pair has been oscillating in a range over the past one-week or so further warrant some caution before positioning for the near-term trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3384
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.3388
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3225
Daily SMA501.3251
Daily SMA1001.3451
Daily SMA2001.3527
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3419
Previous Daily Low1.3352
Previous Weekly High1.3418
Previous Weekly Low1.3171
Previous Monthly High1.3451
Previous Monthly Low1.302
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3393
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3378
Daily Pivot Point S11.3354
Daily Pivot Point S21.332
Daily Pivot Point S31.3287
Daily Pivot Point R11.342
Daily Pivot Point R21.3453
Daily Pivot Point R31.3487

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

Japanese Yen edges up but remains close to the 160.00 intervention threshold

The Japanese Yen edges up against the US Dollar on Friday, but the USD/JPY pair remains above 159.90 at the time of writing, unable to put a significant distance from the 160.00 level, considered the limit of tolerable JPY weakness for Japanese authorities.

Gold returns to the red, awaits US NFP

Gold price is looking to test the weekly lows, while in the red near $4,450 in the early European session on Friday. The precious metal remains vulnerable amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday.

 

Arthur Hayes' “Holy Trinity” is dead: Exits Zcash after Orchard Pool exploit

Arthur Hayes has entirely dumped his “Holy Trinity” holdings by offloading his Zcash holdings on Friday. The privacy coin is down 13% so far on Friday, extending Thursday’s 26% decline after an Orchard Shielded Pool audit revealed a critical vulnerability that allowed the undetectable minting of fake coins. Hayes continues to hold Worldcoin ahead of the upcoming SpaceX Initial Public Offering, on the chance of a “high-beta proxy” rally.

Nonfarm Payrolls set to show stable labor market in May as markets digest Fed hawkish shift

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Nonfarm Payrolls data for May on Friday at 12:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 85K following the surprisingly strong 185K and 115K increases recorded in March and April, respectively.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.