|

USD/CAD holds gains near 1.4450 ahead of US CPI data, BoC interest rate decision

  • USD/CAD gains ground as traders adopt caution ahead of the US CPI data.
  • The Bank of Canada is widely anticipated to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday.
  • The US Dollar faced challenges amid mounting concerns over a potential US economic slowdown.

USD/CAD maintains its gains after a previous session of losses, trading around 1.4440 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair's upside is supported by a stronger US Dollar (USD), driven by market caution ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision later in the North American session.

According to LSEG data, financial markets estimate an 80% probability of a quarter-point rate cut by the Bank of Canada (BoC) in March, which would lower the policy rate from 3.0% to 2.75%. Investors also anticipate at least two additional cuts by the end of 2025.

The USD/CAD pair faced resistance as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) found support from easing trade war concerns. Ontario’s decision to suspend a planned 25% surcharge on electricity exports to the US, along with President Trump’s reconsideration of doubling tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, helped reduce cost pressures on Canadian exporters.

Meanwhile, Canada’s Energy Minister, Jonathan Wilkinson, warned on Tuesday that the country could implement non-tariff measures, including potential restrictions on Oil exports to the US, if trade tensions escalate further.

The US Dollar faced challenges amid growing concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the US. President Trump described the economy as being in a "transition period," a statement investors viewed as an early indication of possible turbulence ahead.

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.20%0.21%0.19%0.09%0.21%0.26%0.11%
EUR-0.20% 0.00%-0.03%-0.10%0.00%0.06%-0.09%
GBP-0.21%-0.00% -0.02%-0.11%0.00%0.05%-0.09%
JPY-0.19%0.03%0.02% -0.09%0.03%0.06%-0.06%
CAD-0.09%0.10%0.11%0.09% 0.12%0.16%0.04%
AUD-0.21%-0.01%-0.01%-0.03%-0.12% 0.05%-0.09%
NZD-0.26%-0.06%-0.05%-0.06%-0.16%-0.05% -0.14%
CHF-0.11%0.09%0.09%0.06%-0.04%0.09%0.14% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

British Pound eases to 1.3450 area following downwardly revised Manufacturing PMI data

The British Pound is trimming previous gains against the US Dollar on Monday, returning to the mid-range of the 1.3400s down from fresh seven-week highs, above 1.3500 earlier on the day. Weaker-than-expected UK manufacturing data added pressure on the Pound, which rallied at the Asian session opening, amid news of a halt to the hostilities in Iran.

EUR/USD struggles above 1.1500 despite USD weakness

EUR/USD struggles with its recovery above 1.1500 in European trading on Monday, despite broad US Dollar weakness and improved risk sentiment. The USD loses traction following US President Trump's call off an attack on Iran and that talks between the two sides would happen on Monday. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran negotiations and US ISM PMI data.

Gold extends range play below $4,100 as rebounding USD meets receding Fed hike bets

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest weekly bullish gap opening, and remains below the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. The US Dollar stages a modest recovery from its lowest level since June 17, which is seen capping the upside for the commodity. The upside for the USD, however, seems limited amid renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal and receding US Fed rate-hike expectations.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Solana risks a steeper decline below $70 despite steady ETF inflows

Solana (SOL) is trading in the red, losing bullish momentum and remaining capped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $75.68. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds show resilience with a monthly inflow of $14.62 million in July, while the near-term retail support wanes with the funding rate turning negative.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.