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USD/CAD hangs near multi-month lows, just below 1.3200 handle

  • The post-FOMC USD bearish pressure now seems to have eased a bit. 
  • Bullish Oil prices continue to underpin Loonie and might cap any gains.
  • Traders now eye Canadian retail sales data/US PMI for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair struggled to register any meaningful recovery and remained well within the striking distance of near four-month lows set in the previous session.

Against the backdrop of the post-FOMC US Dollar selloff, a combination of supporting factors provided an additional boost to the Canadian Dollar and collaborated to the pair's slump over the past three trading sessions. 

Wednesday's hotter-than-expected Canadian inflation figures might now encourage the BoC to retain its current policy at the upcoming meeting in July and was seen as one of the key factors supporting the domestic currency. 

This coupled with the ongoing upsurge in Crude Oil prices further underpinned the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and contributed to this week's steep decline of around 280-pips from levels beyond the 1.3400 handle.

Oil prices rallied to fresh monthly tops and remained supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard shot down the US surveillance drone near Strait of Hormuz.

Meanwhile, investors now seemed to have digested the latest dovish shift by the Fed, with a modest pickup in the US Treasury bond yields pushing the greenback a bit higher and helping limit further losses, at least for the time being.

Investors now look forward to Friday's important Canadian macro data - monthly retail sales figures, which coupled with the release of flash US manufacturing PMI might produce some short-term trading opportunities later in the day.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.319
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.3191
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3384
Daily SMA501.3411
Daily SMA1001.3354
Daily SMA2001.3286
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3288
Previous Daily Low1.3151
Previous Weekly High1.3424
Previous Weekly Low1.3242
Previous Monthly High1.3566
Previous Monthly Low1.3357
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3204
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3236
Daily Pivot Point S11.3132
Daily Pivot Point S21.3073
Daily Pivot Point S31.2994
Daily Pivot Point R11.3269
Daily Pivot Point R21.3348
Daily Pivot Point R31.3407

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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