|

USD/CAD gains ground above 1.3750 as traders pare back Fed rate cut expectation

  • USD/CAD holds positive ground near  1.3765 amid firmer US Dollar. 
  • US Fed is expected to maintain interest rates steady in the range of 5.25%-5.50 in its June meeting on Wednesday
  • The lower crude oil prices weigh on the commodity-linked Loonie, lifting the pair higher. 

The USD/CAD pair trades in the positive territory around 1.3765 amid the renewed US Dollar (USD) demand on Tuesday during the early Asian trading hours. Meanwhile, the decline in crude oil prices undermines the commodity-linked Loonie and creates a tailwind for USD/CAD. 

The robust US employment data for May pared back rate cut expectations from the Federal Open Market Commit (FOMC). Traders are now pricing in nearly 47% chances of a rate cut for the September meeting, down from 68% before the NFP data, according to the CME FedWatch tool. At the June monetary meeting on Wednesday, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain interest rates steady in the range of 5.25%-5.50 to curb inflation towards the Fed’s 2% target. 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data on Wednesday might offer some hints about the inflation trajectory and future monetary policy outlook. The US headline and CPI figure are estimated to show an increase of 3.4% YoY abd e 3.5% YoY in May. 

Meanwhile,  Crude Oil prices edge lower as OPEC ministers said that they would not increase supply if prices remained weak. It's worth noting that  Canada is the dominant source of crude oil imports for the United. States and higher oil prices generally underpin the Canadian Dollar (CAD). 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3763
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.3759
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3668
Daily SMA501.3677
Daily SMA1001.3593
Daily SMA2001.3579
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3782
Previous Daily Low1.3754
Previous Weekly High1.3768
Previous Weekly Low1.3603
Previous Monthly High1.3783
Previous Monthly Low1.359
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3771
Daily Pivot Point S11.3748
Daily Pivot Point S21.3737
Daily Pivot Point S31.372
Daily Pivot Point R11.3776
Daily Pivot Point R21.3793
Daily Pivot Point R31.3804

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.