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USD/CAD falls toward 1.3220 as WTI rebounds to $59

  • WTI retraces its daily drop, turns flat near $59.
  • US Dollar Index continues to move sideways above 97.50.
  • Building Permits in Canada declined by 1.5% in October.

After spending the majority of the day moving sideways near 1.3250, the USD/CAD pair lost its traction during the American trading hours and slumped to a daily low of 1.3221. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.3228, down 0.2% on the day.

Crude oil's rebound supports CAD

In the absence of significant macroeconomic drivers on Monday, crude oil's performance seems to be impacting the CAD's market valuation.

The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI), which advanced to its highest level in more than two months near $60 last Friday after OPEC+ decided to deepen the output cut by 500,000 barrels per day, slumped toward the $58 mark during the first half of the day but didn't have a difficult time erasing its losses. As of writing, the WTI was flat on the day at $59.10, helping the commodity-related loonie stay strong against the USD.

Meanwhile, the data published by Statistics Canada on Monday showed that Building Permits in Canada declined by 1.5% on a monthly basis in October to fall short of the market expectation for an increase of 2.9% but was largely ignored by the market participants.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index is moving sideways near 97.60 following Friday's rebound fueled by the upbeat labour market data as investors are waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to announce its monetary policy decisions on Wednesday.

Previewing the FOMC event, "FOMC members have made it clear that they think the 'current stance of monetary policy is appropriate' and that they now want to wait sometime and see how things play out before acting again," said Danske Bank analysts. "Focus is likely to be on the updated 'dots' (i.e. policy rate projection)."

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3228
Today Daily Change-0.0031
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1.3259
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.326
Daily SMA501.3217
Daily SMA1001.323
Daily SMA2001.328
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3272
Previous Daily Low1.317
Previous Weekly High1.3322
Previous Weekly Low1.3158
Previous Monthly High1.3328
Previous Monthly Low1.3114
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3233
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3209
Daily Pivot Point S11.3196
Daily Pivot Point S21.3133
Daily Pivot Point S31.3095
Daily Pivot Point R11.3297
Daily Pivot Point R21.3335
Daily Pivot Point R31.3398

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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