|

USD/CAD extends its downside below 1.3750 on a softer US Dollar

  • USD/CAD loses ground near 1.3730 on the softer USD on Thursday. 
  • The BoC Governor said the central bank is  “getting closer” to rate cuts.
  • The Fed has not changed its key interest rates and expressed more caution than previously about possible interest rate cuts. 

The USD/CAD pair extends its downside around 1.3730 during the early Asian trading hours. The downtick of the pair is backed by the weaker US Dollar Index (DXY) to 105.75. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its benchmark short-term borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25% and 5.50% and expressed more caution than before over future interest rate cuts. Later in the day, the usual US weekly Initial Jobless Claims and March’s Goods Trade Balance are due.

Late Wednesday, Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem reiterated that the Canadian central bank is confident that inflation will continue to decline, adding that the BoC is  “getting closer” to rate cuts. Macklem added that the BoC isn't beholden to following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) playbook as higher rates in Canada are having ‘more traction’ than in the US. 

Traders place more bets that the Bank of Canada (BoC) might cut interest rates in June as Canada's economy weakened in the first quarter of this year. Canada’s GDP grew at a slower pace of 0.2% MoM in February, compared to the previous reading of  0.5%, weaker than the market expectation of 0.3% expansion. Elsewhere, the Canadian Manufacturing PM dropped to 49.4 in April and 49.8 in March, below the market consensus of 50.2, according to S&P Global on Wednesday. 

On the USD’s front, the US Fed kept rates unchanged for a sixth consecutive meeting in the 5.25%–5.50% range, as widely expected by market participants. Fed Chair Powell sounded more cautious than the previous reading, arguing for more patience on the policy front. The USD failed to capitalize following the monetary policy meeting as the bar was pretty high for an uber-hawkish pivot. However, the higher-for-longer rate narrative in the US could provide some support to the USD and cap the downside for USD/CAD. 

 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3729
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.3739
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3695
Daily SMA501.36
Daily SMA1001.3505
Daily SMA2001.3549
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3783
Previous Daily Low1.3703
Previous Weekly High1.3753
Previous Weekly Low1.3635
Previous Monthly High1.3846
Previous Monthly Low1.3478
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3734
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3753
Daily Pivot Point S11.3701
Daily Pivot Point S21.3662
Daily Pivot Point S31.3621
Daily Pivot Point R11.378
Daily Pivot Point R21.3822
Daily Pivot Point R31.386



 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.