|

USD/CAD eases from near 4-week tops amid rallying oil prices

   •  The USD fails to benefit from a strong recovery in the US bond yields.
   •  Resurgent oil prices underpin Loonie and prompt some profit-taking.
   •  Traders now eye Canadian monthly GDP/US data for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair traded with a mild negative bias through the early European session and is currently placed at session lows, around the 1.3425-20 region.

The pair failed to capitalize on its positive move witnessed over the past two trading sessions and struggled to make it through the 1.3450 supply zone, with a combination of factors prompting some profit-taking on the last trading day of the week. 

Despite a strong follow-through recovery in the US Treasury bond yields, the US Dollar consolidated the overnight goodish up-move to near three-week tops and was seen as one of the key factors keeping a lid on any follow-through up-move for the major.

Meanwhile, traders shrugged off the US President Donald Trump’s tweet about high oil prices on Thursday and a fresh leg of a positive move in crude oil prices further underpinned the commodity-linked currency and added to the pair's offered tone. 

The downside, however, remained limited as market participants now look forward to the release of monthly Canadian GDP print, which coupled with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - core PCE Price Index might produce some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

Any further pull-back now seems to find some support near the 1.3400 handle, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slide towards weekly lows, around the 1.3375-70 region, before eventually dropping to test the 1.3340-35 support area.

On the flip side, the 1.3440-50 region might continue to act as an immediate strong hurdle, which if cleared decisively would set the stage for a further appreciating move and assist the pair to aim towards reclaiming the key 1.3500 psychological mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).