|

USD/CAD drops to fresh multi-year lows below 1.2650

  • USD/CAD is falling for the second straight day on Wednesday.
  • WTI trades in the positive territory above $50.
  • USD selloff remains intact ahead of US data, FOMC Minutes.

The USD/CAD pair closed in the positive territory on Tuesday as surging crude oil prices helped the CAD outperform its rivals. With the oil rally remaining intact and the greenback struggling to find demand, the pair extended its slide and touched its lowest level since April 2018 at 1.2638. As of writing, the pair was down 0.2% on the day at 1.2644.

Focus shifts to US data, FOMC Minutes

Following the two-day OPEC+ meeting, Saudi Arabia announced on Tuesday that they will be voluntarily cutting their output in February and March, which will amount to 1 million barrels per day. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained more than 5% and preserved its bullish momentum on Wednesday. At the moment, the WTI is trading at its highest level in more than 10 months, rising 1.44% on the day at $50.52.

On the other hand, the risk-on market environment makes it difficult for the greenback to find demand. In the meantime, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 7% on Wednesday as investors price in a Democratic majority in the Senate. If the US T-bond yields continue to push higher, the USD could find some demand. Nevertheless, the US Dollar Index is currently losing 0.2% on the day at 89.26.

Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change, Factory Orders and Markit Services PMI data will be featured in the US economic docket. More importantly, the FOMC will release the December Minutes at 1900 GMT.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2646
Today Daily Change-0.0030
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open1.2676
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2785
Daily SMA501.2946
Daily SMA1001.3072
Daily SMA2001.3389
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2792
Previous Daily Low1.2656
Previous Weekly High1.2876
Previous Weekly Low1.2714
Previous Monthly High1.301
Previous Monthly Low1.2688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2708
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.274
Daily Pivot Point S11.2624
Daily Pivot Point S21.2572
Daily Pivot Point S31.2489
Daily Pivot Point R11.2759
Daily Pivot Point R21.2843
Daily Pivot Point R31.2895

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.