• A combination of factors assisted USD/CAD to gain traction for the second successive day.
  • Sliding oil prices undermined the loonie and remained supportive amid a modest USD strength.
  • Investors eye US Retail Sales and the Fed Chair Powell’s speech for a fresh trading impetus.

The USD/CAD pair added to its intraday gains and shot to near four-week tops, around the 1.2630 region during the early European session.

The pair built on the previous day's positive move and gained some follow-through traction for the second consecutive session on Tuesday. The momentum pushed the USD/CAD pair further beyond the very important 200-day SMA and was supported by a combination of factors.

Investors remain worried that the fast-spreading Delta variant of the coronavirus could derail the global economic recovery and dent fuel demand. This was evident from the recent decline in crude oil prices, which, in turn, undermined the commodity-linked loonie.

Apart from COVID-19 jitters, political tension in Afghanistan took its toll on the global risk sentiment. This was seen as a key factor that drove some haven flows towards the US dollar and further contributed to the USD/CAD pair's ongoing positive move.

The uptick could further be attributed to some short-covering above a technically significant moving average. A subsequent strength beyond the 1.2600 round-figure mark might have already set the stage for a further near-term appreciating move for the USD/CAD pair.

Market participants now look forward to the release of US monthly Retail Sales figures. This will be followed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech, which might influence the USD. Apart from this, oil price dynamics will provide some trading impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1.2618
Today Daily Change 0.0045
Today Daily Change % 0.36
Today daily open 1.2573
Daily SMA20 1.2541
Daily SMA50 1.2438
Daily SMA100 1.2369
Daily SMA200 1.2562
Previous Daily High 1.2584
Previous Daily Low 1.2512
Previous Weekly High 1.2589
Previous Weekly Low 1.2489
Previous Monthly High 1.2808
Previous Monthly Low 1.2303
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2557
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2539
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2529
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2484
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2457
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2601
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2629
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2673



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