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USD/CAD appreciates to near 1.3700 as Fed delays the expected timing of the rate cut

  • USD/CAD broke its losing streak as higher-than-expected US PMI data supported the US Dollar.
  • Fed’s Neel Kashkari argued that it will probably take a year or two to get inflation back to 2%.
  • Higher Crude Oil prices could limit the downside of the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD halts its six-day losing streak, trading around 1.3700 during the Asian session on Monday. On Friday, a higher-than-expected US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) boosted the US Dollar (USD), underpinning the USD/CAD pair.

The US Composite PMI for June surpassed expectations, rising to 54.6 from May’s reading of 54.5. This figure marked the highest level since April 2022. The Manufacturing PMI increased to a reading of 51.7 from a 51.3 figure, exceeding the forecast of 51.0. Similarly, the Services PMI rose to 55.1 from 54.8 in May, beating the consensus estimate of 53.7.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, edges higher due to the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials delaying the anticipated timing of the first interest rate cut this year. Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari argued on Thursday that it will probably take a year or two to get inflation back to 2%, per Reuters.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors are pricing in nearly 65.9% odds of a Fed rate cut in September, compared to 70.2% a week earlier.

On Loonie’s front, the upward correction in crude Oil prices could limit the downside of the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD). Geopolitical tensions are supporting Oil prices, with Israeli troops advancing deeper into Gaza in the Middle East, while Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries persistently disrupt supply.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3696
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open1.3694
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3699
Daily SMA501.3696
Daily SMA1001.3618
Daily SMA2001.3585
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3719
Previous Daily Low1.3675
Previous Weekly High1.3764
Previous Weekly Low1.3675
Previous Monthly High1.3783
Previous Monthly Low1.359
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3702
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3692
Daily Pivot Point S11.3673
Daily Pivot Point S21.3652
Daily Pivot Point S31.3628
Daily Pivot Point R11.3717
Daily Pivot Point R21.374
Daily Pivot Point R31.3761

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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