|

US: NY Empire State Manufacturing Index slumps to -0.70 in January vs. expected drop to 25.70

  • Headline NY Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -0.70 in January, well below expectations for 25.70. 
  • The DXY saw some mild weakness in an immediate reaction. 

The headline General Business Conditions Index of the NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey slid to -0.70 in January, from December's 31.90 reading. That was much larger than the expected drop to 25.70 and marked the first time the reading had fallen into negative territory since June 2020.

Subindices:

  • The New Orders subindex fell to -5.0 in January from 27.1 in December. 
  • The Prices Paid subindex fell to 76.7 from 80.2. 
  • The Employment subindex fell to 16.1 from 21.4. 
  • The Six-month Business Conditions subindex remained elevated at 35.1 versus 36.4 the month prior.  

Market Reaction

The DXY has seen some modestly negative ticks in recent trade following the large miss on expectations in terms of the latest NY Fed survey, with the DXY recently falling back under 95.50.  

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold recovers above $4,300 as markets react to weak US data

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.