|

US ISM Manufacturing PMI declines to 46.8 in July vs. 48.8 expected

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI declined to 46.8 in July, pointing to ongoing contraction.
  • US Dollar Index declines toward 104.00 after disappointing data.

The business activity in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract at an accelerating pace in July, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI declining to 46.8 from 48.5 in June. This reading fell short of the market expectation of 48.8.

The Employment Index of the PMI survey declined sharply to 43.4 from 49.3.1 in June, while the New Orders Index fell to 47.4 from 49.3. Finally, the Prices Paid Index, the inflation component, rose to 52.9 from 52.1 in the same period.

Commenting on the survey's findings, "US manufacturing activity entered deeper into contraction. Demand was weak again, output declined, and inputs stayed generally accommodative," said Timothy R. Fiore, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. 

Market reaction

The US Dollar came under renewed selling pressure following the disappointing PMI data. At the time of press, the US Dollar Index was up 0.1% on the day at 104.12.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold extends rally to new record-high above $4,420

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.