|

US equity indices: Indecisive end to the week

Upside momentum slowing

While it was another all-time high (ATH) for the S&P 500 last week, reaching 5,189, upside momentum is beginning to slow and concluded the week tentatively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also ended a second week in negative territory and the Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Composite finished off ATHs in the shape of weekly bearish harami candlestick patterns.

Dip-buyers watching the S&P 500 this week

Although buyers are still dominating the equity market, signs of weakness are beginning to emerge in the S&P 500.

From the weekly timeframe, buyers and sellers wrapped up last week even, consequently delivering an indecisive candlestick formation. Traders will be aware that following a meaningful uptrend, an indecision candle can signal a possible reversal to the downside (in this case, a downside move is strengthened by the possibility of negative divergence out of the Relative Strength Index [RSI] on the monthly timeframe and an extreme overbought signal on the weekly timeframe). Should sellers make a show, the 5,000 level and channel resistance-turned-potential support (taken from the high of 4,607) could welcome price action this week.

In addition to the weekly timeframe’s indecision candle delivering a potentially bearish tone for the week, we can see that price action on the daily timeframe also finished Friday in the form of a bearish engulfing pattern. What’s interesting is that assuming sellers do make a show this week, the daily timeframe’s Fibonacci retracement ratios between 4,976 and 4.994 add additional support to the 5,000 level.

Therefore, if a correction unfolds and we test the 5,000 region this week, dip buyers seeking entry into the current uptrend will have a support zone to work with between 4,976 and 5,000, bolstered by potential weekly channel support.

Author

Aaron Hill

Aaron Hill

FP Markets

After completing his Bachelor’s degree in English and Creative Writing in the UK, and subsequently spending a handful of years teaching English as a foreign language teacher around Asia, Aaron was introduced to financial trading,

More from Aaron Hill
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).