|

US Dollar Price Forecast: Hovers around 104.50, remains above nine-day EMA

  • The US Dollar Index may test a four-month high of 105.45 level.
  • The DXY keeps a bullish outlook as it moves upwards within an ascending channel.
  • The nine-day EMA appears as the immediate support at the 104.25 level.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) maintains its position on daily gains, hovering around 104.50 during European trading hours on Friday. The analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the index moves upwards within an ascending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 50 level, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment. Additionally, the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned above the 14-day EMA, indicating short-term price movement upwards

In terms of resistance, the DXY could appreciate toward a four-month high of 105.45 level, which was marked on November 6. A breakthrough above this level could reinforce the market sentiment and support the DXY to approach the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the psychological level of 106.00.

On the downside, the nine-day EMA appears as the immediate support at 104.25 level, followed by the 14-day EMA at 104.09 level. A break below this level could put downward pressure on the US Dollar Index to navigate toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel at 103.70 level.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.23%0.10%-0.08%0.19%0.43%0.28%0.12%
EUR-0.23% -0.13%-0.28%-0.04%0.20%0.06%-0.12%
GBP-0.10%0.13% -0.16%0.09%0.33%0.18%0.01%
JPY0.08%0.28%0.16% 0.26%0.49%0.35%0.18%
CAD-0.19%0.04%-0.09%-0.26% 0.23%0.10%-0.07%
AUD-0.43%-0.20%-0.33%-0.49%-0.23% -0.14%-0.32%
NZD-0.28%-0.06%-0.18%-0.35%-0.10%0.14% -0.17%
CHF-0.12%0.12%-0.01%-0.18%0.07%0.32%0.17% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).