|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Hovers near descending channel’s lower boundary at 100.50

  • The US Dollar Index may continue to weaken amid a sustained bearish trend, currently testing the descending channel’s lower boundary.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 30, indicating the possibility of an imminent corrective rebound.
  • Immediate support is located at the psychological level of 100.00, followed by 99.76 — the lowest level recorded since April 2022.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, continues its decline for the second consecutive session, hovering around 100.40 during Friday’s Asian trading hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a sustained bearish trend, with the index testing the lower boundary of a prevailing descending channel.

Despite the downward pressure, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 30, signaling the potential for an imminent upward correction. Furthermore, the DXY is trading well below its nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating weak short-term momentum.

On the downside, immediate support is seen at the psychological level of 100.00, followed by 99.76 — the lowest level since April 2022. Additional support lies near the 99.00 mark.

To the upside, a move toward the nine-day EMA at 102.34 could be on the cards. A decisive break above this level may enhance short-term bullish momentum and pave the way for a test of the key resistance zone near the upper boundary of the descending channel at the monthly high of 104.37, followed by 104.59.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.