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US Dollar Index drops to near 104.20 after Ex-Fed Bullard suggests a rate cut in March

  • US Dollar Index extends its losses for the fourth successive session on Monday.
  • The Greenback lost ground after Ex-fed James Bullard suggested the Fed to reducing rates in March.
  • Improved PPI suggests that the Fed could avoid rate adjustment in the upcoming meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its downward trend for the fourth consecutive session, slipping to around 104.20 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. However, the improved Producer Price Index (PPI) from the United States bolstered the US Dollar (USD), yet closed the session with losses. The market expects minimal movement in the Greenback following the President's Day bank holiday.

The US Dollar (USD) faced downward pressure as US Treasury yields saw a volatile session on Friday, ultimately ending the day under pressure. This movement could be attributed to former Fed official James Bullard's suggestion that the Fed should contemplate lowering interest rates in the March meeting to prevent hindering economic activity due to higher rates.

Market sentiment leans towards the idea that the US Federal Reserve will refrain from rate cuts in March and May. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is approximately a 52% likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in June.

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) showed an annual growth of 0.9%, exceeding the anticipated 0.6% and 1.0% prior. Additionally, the month-over-month improvement was 0.3%, against the previous decline of 0.1%. In January, the US Core Producer Price Index (YoY) rose by 2.0%, surpassing the expected 1.6% and the previous 1.7%.

Meanwhile, the month-on-month (MoM) data reported a 0.5% rise, against the predicted 0.1% rise from the prior decline of 0.1%. However, the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index improved to 79.6 from the previous figure of 79.0, falling short of the anticipated 80.0 figure.

Dollar Index Spot: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price104.25
Today Daily Change-0.04
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open104.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.88
Daily SMA50102.98
Daily SMA100104.1
Daily SMA200103.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.67
Previous Daily Low104.17
Previous Weekly High104.98
Previous Weekly Low103.9
Previous Monthly High103.82
Previous Monthly Low101.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.48
Daily Pivot Point S1104.08
Daily Pivot Point S2103.87
Daily Pivot Point S3103.57
Daily Pivot Point R1104.58
Daily Pivot Point R2104.88
Daily Pivot Point R3105.09

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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