|

US Dollar bulls taking a breather around 99.60

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six trade-weighted peers, is taking a break after rising to a new session high at 99.60. At the moment, the index is still down 0.12%, at 99.58.

The index seems to have formed a strong support base at 99.30 on Thursday. The strong performance witnessed in major U.S. equity indexes suggests that the risk appetite is higher in the session, thus decreasing the demand for safe-haven Treasury bonds and pushing their yields higher. While the 10-year U.S. T-bond yield is gaining 2% on the day, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 indexes are up nearly 1%.

Today's macro data from the U.S. was largely ignored. The weekly initial jobless claims came in at 244K for the week ending April 14, just missing the expectation of 242K. Philly Fed manufacturing activity index narrowed down to 22 from 32.8 but the employment sub-index continued to advance.

Later in the session, U.S. President Trump crossed the wires and stated that he will reveal what they want to do with NAFTA in the next two weeks. For the remainder of the day, bond yields could continue to impact the greenback as the calendar doesn't offer any data.

Technical outlook

A break below the daily low at 99.30 could open the door towards 99 (psychological level/Mar. 28 low) and 98.65 (Mar. 27 low). To the upside, resistances align at 99.75 (Mar. 23 low) ahead of 100 (psychological level) and 100.50 (Apr. 13 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.