|

US 10-year Treasury yields, S&P 500 Futures portray cautious optimism

  • US 10-year Treasury yields consolidate the previous day’s heavy fall.
  • S&P 500 Futures print mild gains despite Wall Street’s second consecutive clear loss.
  • US President Joe Biden’s six-pronged strategy, UK vaccine approval keep buyers hopeful after ECB and virus-led disappointment.
  • A light calendar challenges market moves but risk catalysts are the key.

Market sentiment improved during early Friday after a few dismal days, mainly due to the economic fears and tapering concerns.

While portraying the mood, the US 10-year Treasury yields regain a 1.30% level after dropping over four basis points (bps) the previous day. On the same line, S&P 500 Futures also ignore Wall Street benchmarks while printing 0.08% intraday gains to 4,495 at the latest.

US President Joe Biden unveiled details of his battle plan to overcome the pandemic during early Friday in Asia. While his main emphasis was on the faster vaccinations and push for masks, comments like “we can and we will turn the tide on COVID-19,” favored the bulls.

On the contrary were headlines from the Australian Financial Review (AFR) signaled that Canberra is considering terminating the agreement with China on a 99-year lease on the Port of Darwin. Further, China President Xi Jinping’s no gilt in regulatory crackdown over IT companies and COVID-19 fears in the Asia–Pacific chain the optimism.

That said, all three key US equity indices, namely the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), S&P 500 and Nasdaq, dropped for the second consecutive day on Thursday on pessimism surrounding the economic recovery being challenged by the Delta covid variant. Also weighing on the mood could be the headlines concerning the US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials’ push for tapering.

It should be noted, however, that Reuters news saying that UK’s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) approved Pfizer and AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine to be used as booster shots battled the bears. Also on the positive side was the reduction in the weekly US Jobless Claims, from 335K expected to 310K for the week ended on September 03.

Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) left its rates unchanged, with the main refinancing rate 0.00%, as widely expected, while lowering the pace of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP), at €1,850 billion until at least March 2022, terming it as “recalibration” rather than “tapering”.  It’s worth noting that the ECB President Christine Lagarde sounded cautiously optimistic but failed to entertain the markets.

Looking forward, global markets may remain quiet ahead of the weekend amid a light calendar and a passage of the ECB. The same may allow the consolidation moves.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD retreats from weekly high vs firmer USD as focus shifts to BoE, US data

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up to the weekly high and drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around mid-1.3300s, down over 0.10% for the day, and, for now, seem to have stalled the recovery move from a nearly four-week low, touched on Tuesday.

EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.1450 as Fed holds rates steady, traders await Eurozone and German GDP

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1465 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro on a hawkish Federal Reserve rate hold. Traders brace for the preliminary readings of the Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter from Germany and the Eurozone. 


Gold eyes $4,000 and US GDP amid fresh US-Iran tensions

Gold faces rejection once again above $4,100 in the aftermath of the Fed verdict-led volatility. The US Dollar pauses post-FOMC sell-off as the US launches fresh strikes on Iran. A daily closing above $4,100 and the RSI above 50 are needed to negate Gold’s bearish outlook.

WTI falls below $83.00 despite hostilities in the Middle East

West Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.80 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI falls amid some profit-taking despite escalating conflicts in the Middle East. Traders book some profits following the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Fed review: Reversing course (?)
At face value, the FOMC's 9-3 split decision hold was exactly in line with the expectations we laid out in our Fed preview - a divided hold, 22 July. We also named the three dissenters - Hammack, Logan and Kashkari - as the most likely hawks to support rapid tightening.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.