|

The Nasdaq 100’s all-time high proves the continuing strength of big tech

The American stock market is showing impressive growth after opening the week with a downward gap. The Nasdaq 100 has added about 36% to its lows in early April and was the first of the major US indices to update its historical highs.

The fact that the Big Tech-heavy index is showing the strongest recovery suggests that investors have not changed their preferences in recent years. They have maintained their focus on these companies at the expense of industrial giants (Dow Jones) or the broader market (S&P 500) and smaller companies (Russell 2000). This is logical because American technology, not industry or small business, rules the world now.

On Tuesday, the Nasdaq 100 updated its historical highs, and futures on Wednesday improved this figure slightly. The continuation of positive dynamics indicates the end of the correction from February to April, paving the way for further growth. The Nasdaq index will most likely maintain its leading momentum.

The positive sentiment is reinforced by the ‘golden cross’ signal, which was formally formed on Friday when the 50-day moving average exceeded the 200-day moving average. According to statistics, over a one-month horizon, the market is growing by 2.75% against an average of 1%, and over a 12-month horizon, the difference is 21.5% with the signal against 13% without it.
We also note that the recent correction stopped near the peak levels of the previous bull cycle, and approximately 50% of the growth from the lows in October 2022. The 200-week average level also remained intact, which sharply increased buyer activity.

The sell-off earlier this year removed the overheating from more than two years of market growth, formally clearing the way for further growth. About ten years ago, the Nasdaq100 spent about a year and a half and made numerous attempts without daring to update the historical highs of 2000. However, in the following years, updating the highs after the corrections ended raised the index impressively higher before buyers showed indecision. And most likely, this pattern will continue this time.

Author

Alexander Kuptsikevich

Alexander Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, has been with the company since its foundation. From time to time, he gives commentaries on radio and television. He publishes in major economic and socio-political media.

More from Alexander Kuptsikevich
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.