|

The end of crypto currencies? – Commerzbank

Ulrich Leuchtmann, analyst at Commerzbank, points out that the depreciation of crypto currencies accelerated in 2018 and after the realisation that crypto currencies are unsuitable as currencies it has now also become obvious that many are also unsuitable as a means of payment.

Key Quotes

“2018 might constitute the beginning of the end of bitcoin and that of many other crypto currencies.”

“2018 was an annus horribilis for crypto currencies. As far as bitcoin (XBT), the by far most liquid amongst the crypto currencies, is concerned, the drama started to unfold at the beginning of the year. The speculative bubble, that had started to show signs of cracks in December 2017, burst completely in January. Following a brief bounce (16.753 on 5th January) the USDXBT exchange rate dropped to 7.101 within the space of one month, or until 5th February.”

“The mother of all crypto currencies therefore lost almost 58% of its value within one month. In other words: the price of goods expressed in bitcoin recorded a rate of inflation of approx. 175% over that month. That would have been a staggering 17.5 million percent on an annualised basis. For a currency, whose proponents promote it as a protection against the risks of inflation of standard currencies, I find that an impressive figure! Bitcoin was unable to recuperate from this blow all year.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.