S&P 500 index bounced from 3,800 level – was it a reversal or just upward correction?

The S&P 500 index gained 1.49% yesterday, as it retraced some of the recent declines. It went closer to the 3,900 level again after bouncing from Tuesday’s new local low of 3,795.62. On Tuesday the markets were very volatile, but they didn’t extend their declines. Recently the S&P 500 reacted to last week’s Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate hike, among other factors.

Today stock prices are expected to open 0.8% lower after better-than-expected economic data releases (Final GDP, Unemployment Claims). In early December the S&P 500 index broke below its two-month-long upward trend line and it moved sharply lower after getting back to that line last week, as we can see on the daily chart:

SPX

Futures contract trades below 3,900

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. Yesterday it broke above the 3,900 level, but this morning it’s trading lower again. The support level remains at around 3,800.

SP500

Conclusion

The S&P 500 index will likely open 0.8% lower this morning. Stocks bounced on Wednesday, but today we may see some more uncertainty and a sideways trading action. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. However, stocks may be forming a bottom here.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 index retraced some of its recent declines yesterday.

  • Stocks will likely extend their short-term consolidation ahead of a holiday weekend.


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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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