|

SPY Elliott Wave outlook: Wave three nearing termination [Video]

The short-term Elliott Wave outlook for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) highlights a cycle starting from the August 1 low. This cycle is unfolding as a diagonal and nears completion. The initial wave ((i)) peaked at 647.04 after the August 1 low. A pullback in wave ((ii)) dropped to 634.92, forming a running flat Elliott Wave. From the wave ((i)) high, wave (a) fell to 632.95. Wave (b) then rose to 649.79. Wave (c) declined to 634.92, finishing wave ((ii)) at a higher degree.

The ETF climbed further in wave ((iii)) to 652.21. A pullback in wave ((iv)) reached 643.33. We expect wave ((v)) to push higher, completing wave 5 of (3). After this, a larger degree wave (4) pullback should occur. A final leg, wave (5), will likely follow to end the cycle from the April 2025 low.

In the near term, the pivot at 634.92 must hold. If it does, dips should find support at the 3, 7, or 11 swing levels. This support will pave the way for more upside. Traders can watch these levels closely for confirmation of the ongoing trend. The outlook suggests a structured advance with clear targets ahead.

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) – 45 minute Elliott Wave technical chart

SPY – Elliott Wave [Video]

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.