|

$SPX: The Expanded flat, which tricked buyers last month [Video]

The Expanded Flat is one of trickiest structures in the Elliott Wave Theory. The structure comes with a strong reaction after new highs are made. But the idea is that the reaction comes in five waves, which confuse wavers. As a result, wavers often get trapped by the structure. When Mr. Elliott developed the theory back in the 1930s, he did not have the tools which we have today. We at EWF have developed a series of new rules. Some of those rules are explained in the article here. As we explained, the new set of rules allow us to identify the trap, so we can warn members and followers when it happens.

Correction in the market happens in the sequence of three, seven or eleven swings. The Expanded Flat always shows a divergence in the fifth swing but it is also showing five channels lower. It does not form a corresponding sequence in the momentum indicators however, which makes the sequence corrective. Here is what the Expanded Flat looks like in the Elliott Wave Theory:

As we can see the B wave trades above the beginning of the A wave. However, the market reacted lower, and pass the low of wave A. The reaction lower comes in five waves making all the wavers chase the wrong upside breakout. As we mentioned above, it is very tricky, and only having a new set of rules, and understanding of the market nature sequences will make traders avoid the traps.

Back in early March 2022, the $SPX makes new lows below the 01.24.2022. However, it never reached the 100% from the 01.04.2022 peak. The low comes with momentum divergence against the 01.24.2022. Back in the 1930s it was easy to get trapped by the market, but in 2022 it was easy for us to be able to see the trap. Here is the 4 Hour chart provided to members during 03.26.2022 update showing the proposed Flat taking place and the turn lower.

$SPX – 4 hour update from 3.26.2022 :

The Index ended the 5 waves structure and then we called lower early in the turn. Our members already knew at the moment that the sequences was incomplete. Consequently, a sell-off was coming into the ((Y)). Market turned lower as expected above. Now it is ending the seven swing structure by erasing the momentum divergence.

$SPX – 4 hour update from 4.11.2022 :

Check out the following video, which explains whole idea and how the sequence identified.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.