S&P 500 (SPX) looking for short term pullback [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

Short term Elliott Wave view in S&P 500 (SPX) suggests that the rally from 3.13.2023 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure. Up from 3.13.2023 low, wave ((i)) ended at 4186.92. Dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 4046.07 as the 60 minutes chart below shows. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 4147.02 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 4098.92. Index extends higher in wave (iii) towards 4441.2 and dips in wave (iv) ended at 4328.08.

Final leg higher wave (v) ended at 4458.48 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) is in progress to correct cycle from 5.4.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 4385.05. Expect wave (b) rally to fail below 4458.48 and the Index to turn lower in wave (c) before it completes wave ((iv)) and resumes higher. Wave ((iv)) typically ends somewhere at the 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave ((iii)). That area is at 4301.2 – 4361.1. From here, the Index can find buyers for further upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 4046.07 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.

SPX 60 minutes Elliott Wave chart

SPX Elliott Wave video

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?

The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is

EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.