The S&P 500 reached new medium-term high – will the uptrend continue despite overbought conditions?

The broad stock market index gained 0.71% on Tuesday, as it extended its uptrend ahead of quarterly earnings releases, among other factors. The daily high was at 4,562.36 and the S&P 500 was the highest since early April of 2022. There is still a lot of uncertainty concerning monetary policy, some technology/AI stocks’ valuation concerns, but the investors’ sentiment remains bullish. The market is waiting for more quarterly corporate earnings releases.

Stocks will likely open 0.1% higher this morning. The market continues to trade way above an over month-long upward trend line as we can see on the daily chart:

Chart

Futures contract trades closer to 4,600

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It’s trading within an intraday consolidation. For now it looks like another flat correction within a short-term uptrend. The nearest important support level is now at 4,560, marked by the recent resistance level.

Chart

Conclusion

The S&P 500 extended its short-term advance yesterday and this morning it is likely to open virtually flat. Investors will be waiting for the coming quarterly corporate earnings releases. Today after the session’s close we will get reports from TSLA and NFLX, among others.

There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, the market may see a more pronounced profit taking action at some point.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 keeps rallying on economic data, earnings releases.

  • There have been no confirmed negative signals.

  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is still bullish.


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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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