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Singapore: Inflation picked up pace in January – UOB

Economist at UOB Group Barnabas Gan reviews the latest inflation figures in Singapore.

Key Takeaways

“Singapore’s consumer prices rose at its fastest rate since Feb 2013 at 4.0% y/y (+0.0% m/m sa) in Jan 2022, due to higher food and oil prices. This is slightly lower compared to market expectations for a 4.2% y/y print, albeit closer to our outlook of 3.9% y/y.”

“Inflation risks are still being felt at this juncture, given that headline inflation has climbed for five straight months. Core inflation has also accelerated to 2.4% y/y in Jan 2022 (from 2.1% prior), marking the second month that core inflation is above the 2.0% handle. The authorities have kept their headline and core inflation outlook unchanged at 2.5 - 3.5% and 2.0 - 3.0% respectively.”

“We expect headline inflation to stay above the 3.0% handle at least into the first half of 2022, while core inflation could remain at 2.0% or higher for the remaining part of the year. Given the inflation risks, we maintain our call for MAS to further normalise monetary policy in April 2022.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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