|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tests key trendline support

  • Silver (XAG/USD) trims losses near $35.80 after hitting an intraday low of $35.28 on Tuesday.
  • Last week’s surge to 13-year highs fueled by safe-haven flows and tight supply now faces healthy profit-taking.
  • Spot price tests critical rising trendline and 21-day EMA support near $35.50–$35.60.

Silver (XAG/USD) reverses course during the American session on Tuesday after spending most of the day drifting lower from an intraday high of $36.20. At the time of writing, the metal is trading near $35.80, slightly above the session low of $35.28, but still down around 0.65% on the day as traders test key trendline support.

Last week, Silver pushed to fresh 13-year highs as investors flocked to the metal for its safe-haven appeal. Strong industrial demand and tightening supply added fuel to the surge. However, the momentum has cooled since then, with the recent dip reflecting healthy profit-taking and reduced liquidity in the market.

From a technical perspective, Silver’s daily chart remains constructive but is flashing early signs of fatigue. Tuesday’s drop pulled XAG/USD back toward its rising trendline support, which has guided the uptrend since mid-April. This trendline, reinforced by the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $35.50–$35.60, has repeatedly acted as a springboard for fresh buying.

A decisive daily close below this zone would raise the risk of a deeper correction, potentially exposing the next key support around $34.50 — a former resistance level now expected to act as a solid floor if the pullback deepens.

Momentum indicators highlight this tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has cooled to 56.50, down from recent overbought conditions but still comfortably above the neutral 50 level, suggesting the broader trend retains a bullish bias. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has shifted marginally negative, indicating a waning upward momentum in the near term. Price action shows repeated long lower wicks on recent candles, underscoring that bulls continue to step in aggressively on dips.

If Silver manages to sustain a bounce from current levels, the rally could regain traction toward $36.50, with a potential extension toward the psychological $37.00 barrier if buying pressure intensifies.

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD remains confined in a range above mid-1.3300s ahead of UK jobs report

The GBP/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Tuesday and currently trades around the 1.3370-1.3365 region, nearly unchanged for the day. Traders seem reluctant and opt to wait for this week's important macro releases and the key central bank event risk before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold defends $4,300 as focus shifts to US NFP, PMI data

Gold price holds the $4,300 level, easing from the highest since October 21 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal stays afloat on further US Federal Reserve rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.