Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD portrays Ukraine-linked cautious optimism around $26.50


  • Silver consolidates the biggest daily gains in a week around nine-month high.
  • Market sentiment improves as Ukraine steps back from NATO goal, tensions between US and Venezuela also ease.
  • Yields weigh on DXY, stock futures print mild gains.
  • Risk catalysts are the key for near-term directions, inflation numbers may also entertain traders.

Silver (XAG/USD) dribbles around $26.40, down 0.25% intraday during Wednesday’s Asian session. The bright metal rose to the highest since June 2021 the previous day before reversing from $26.95.

The metal’s latest weakness, or at least the absence of further upside, could be linked to the fading fears from Ukraine. “In a nod to Russia, Ukraine is reportedly no longer insisting on NATO membership,” reported AFP on Tuesday. The news also joins the confirmation of the first humanitarian corridor in Ukraine to tame the market’s pessimism. Additionally favoring the risk appetite, as well as negatively affecting silver’s safe-haven appeal is Venezuela’s freeing of the American prisoner and the US hint of easing sanctions afterward.

However, Russia may not cheer Kyiv’s intention to dump NATO membership goal as Moscow may fear the enemy to join the European Union (EU), which in turn demolishes President Vladimir Putin’s unsaid target of putting Kremlin-controlled leader in Ukraine.

Hence, traders remain cautious despite the recently easing fears from Ukraine. While portraying the mood, the US 10-year Treasury yields fail to extend the previous day’s positive performance around 1.84%, down 1.3 basis points (bps) whereas the S&P 500 Futures rise 0.30% on a day by the press time.

Looking forward, silver traders will keep their eyes on the risk catalysts and may witness further losses should the risk-on mood continues to prevail.

Technical analysis

Despite the latest pullback, an upward sloping trend line from September 2021, around $26.20, followed by the $26.00 threshold, restricts short-term XAG/USD declines.

Additional important levels 

Overview
Today last price 26.38
Today Daily Change -0.06
Today Daily Change % -0.23%
Today daily open 26.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 24.4
Daily SMA50 23.59
Daily SMA100 23.53
Daily SMA200 24.1
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 26.95
Previous Daily Low 25.36
Previous Weekly High 25.74
Previous Weekly Low 24.1
Previous Monthly High 25.62
Previous Monthly Low 22.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 26.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 25.97
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.55
Daily Pivot Point S2 24.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 23.96
Daily Pivot Point R1 27.14
Daily Pivot Point R2 27.84
Daily Pivot Point R3 28.74

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures