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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD fails to capitalize on US dollar weakness, eyes the 200-hour SMA

  • The white-metal falls some 0.54% at press time during the New York session.
  • Falling US Treasury yields and US domestic political issues undermine the US dollar.
  • XAG/USD Price Forecast: Neutral-bearish bias, as long as it remains below the December 13 high at $22.40.

Silver (XAG/USD) is failing to capitalize on falling US bond yields, retreating below the December 17 daily low, trading at $22.26 during the New York session at the time of writing.  An hour after Wall Street’s opening, the market sentiment is downbeat, as depicted by US stock indices falling. At the same time, the Build Back Better US President Biden agenda got torpedoed by Democrat Senator Joe Munchin, backpedaling his support of a $2 trillion tax-and-spending package as year’s end looms, pushing discussion towards next year.

That said, US Treasuries are losing during the day, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping 1.7 basis points, currently at 1.385%, weighing on the US Dollar Index, falling 0.24%, sitting at 96.34. 

Despite the abovementioned, XAG/USD failed to capitalize an upward move, which could be attributed to a technical move, as the white-metal faced strong resistance around $22.60.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Silver 1-hour chart depicts the non-yielding metal has a neutral-bearish bias, as long as it remains below the December 13 swing high at $22.40, even though it faced support around the confluence of the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) around the $22.18-20 region. The last 1-hour candle attempted a break above the December 17 swing at  $22.34, fading the move and retreating below the S1 daily pivot.

The lack of a catalyst would keep XAG/USD subdued in the $22.18-35 range. In the event of further downside, the first support would be the 200-hour SMA at $22.20. A decisive breach of the latter would open the door towards $22.00, followed by a challenge of the S3 daily pivot at $21.93.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.24
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open22.36
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.68
Daily SMA5023.53
Daily SMA10023.51
Daily SMA20024.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.68
Previous Daily Low22.36
Previous Weekly High22.68
Previous Weekly Low21.42
Previous Monthly High25.41
Previous Monthly Low22.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.48
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.56
Daily Pivot Point S122.26
Daily Pivot Point S222.15
Daily Pivot Point S321.94
Daily Pivot Point R122.57
Daily Pivot Point R222.78
Daily Pivot Point R322.89

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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