|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD trims its losses but remains exposed to sellers below the 200-DMA

  • Silver price stopped its fall but remains shy of reclaiming the 200-EMA.
  • A third daily close below the 200-day EMA will cement Sllver's price downward bias.
  • Silver Price Analysis: Break below $21.40 would expose the $21.00 mark.

Silver price attempts to recover the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but stays shy of reclaiming the $21.94 price level, which would underpin the XAG/USD towards the psychological $22.00 mark. Nevertheless, the Silver price registers gains, and the XAG/USD is trading at $21.71 after hitting a daily low of $21.44.

Once the XAG/USD extended its losses beyond the 200-day EMA, sellers faced difficulties dragging prices below the weekly low of $21.43. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bearish territory but turned flat, meaning bears are getting a respite before re-attempting to drive prices toward the November 28 low at $20.87.

In the short term, the XAG/USD 1-hour chart suggests the pair is sideways. Even though the white metal dived towards the S1 daily pivot at $21.40, it encountered bids and climbed back above the daily pivot at $21.64. However, failure to crack the R1 daily pivot at $21.84 would keep the daily chart bias intact.

That said, the XAG/USD first support would be the daily pivot at $21.64, followed by the S1 pivot point at 21.40. A breach of the latter and the following line of defense for Silver bulls would be the S2 daily pivot at $21.19, followed by the S2 area at $20.96.

XAG/USD 1-Hour chat

XAG/USD Key technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price21.72
Today Daily Change0.07
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open21.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.98
Daily SMA5023.4
Daily SMA10021.93
Daily SMA20021.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.88
Previous Daily Low21.43
Previous Weekly High22.62
Previous Weekly Low21.84
Previous Monthly High24.55
Previous Monthly Low22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.71
Daily Pivot Point S121.43
Daily Pivot Point S221.2
Daily Pivot Point S320.97
Daily Pivot Point R121.88
Daily Pivot Point R222.11
Daily Pivot Point R322.34

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains depressed below 1.3400 as escalating US-Iran tensions underpin USD

The GBP/USD pair finds some support near 1.3370 after a modest gap-down opening on Monday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.3400. Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to have stalled the pullback from a nearly four-week high, around the 1.3450 area, touched on Friday amid mixed fundamental cues.


EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1400 as US-Iran escalation boosts US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1400 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Federal Reserve Bank Governor Christopher Waller and European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel are set to speak later in the day.

Gold struggles below $4,100 on Fed-hike bets, firmer USD

Gold weakens back below $4,100 during the Asian session on Monday as a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran underpins the safe-haven US Dollar. Moreover, inflation worries stemming from rising Crude Oil prices cement expectations for a Fed rate hike in 2026 and further benefit the buck, exerting additional pressure on the non-yielding bullion. The commodity, however, holds above last week's swing low as traders seem hesitant ahead of this week's US inflation figures.

Week ahead: US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.