|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD trapped within EMAs as US bond yields climb

  • Rising US bond yields curtail Silver’s momentum as it moves between key daily Exponential Moving Averages.
  • XAG/USD breaking resistance at around $23.88 may propel Silver to challenge $24.00.
  • A drop below the 100-day EMA and the June 5 low of $23.25 could trigger a steeper decline.

Silver price stopped its fall amidst rising US Treasury bond yields, cushioned by the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lying at $23.47. Still, it also failed to rally, capped by solid resistance at around the $23.74-88 area, where the 20 and 50-day EMAs lie. Therefore, XAG/USD is trading at $23.52, almost flat.

Must read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD steadily around $1960s amid higher US bond yields

XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the XAG/USD path remains unclear, trapped between daily EMAs, pending cracking resistance at around $23.74-88, which would pave the way to challenge the June 2 high of $24.01. A breach of the latter would shift Silver upwards and open the door to test the April 25 low turned resistance at $24.49 before aiming towards February 2 high at $24.63.

Conversely, XAG/USD falling below the 100-day EMA and sliding beneath the June 5 low of $23.25 could exacerbate a more profound fall toward the May 30 daily low of $22.93. Once broken, the XAG/USD next challenge will be the 200-day EMA at $22.87

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is in bearish territory, while the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) followed suit. Therefore, in the near term, Silver’s path could be downwards.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.56
Today Daily Change-0.01
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open23.57
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.76
Daily SMA5024.46
Daily SMA10023.35
Daily SMA20022.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.69
Previous Daily Low23.25
Previous Weekly High24.02
Previous Weekly Low22.93
Previous Monthly High26.14
Previous Monthly Low22.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.42
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.52
Daily Pivot Point S123.32
Daily Pivot Point S223.06
Daily Pivot Point S322.88
Daily Pivot Point R123.76
Daily Pivot Point R223.94
Daily Pivot Point R324.2

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1500 despite ECB rate hike

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and declines toward 1.1500 in the American session on Thursday. Although the European Central Bank raised key rates by 25 bps after the June meeting, the pair struggles to hold its ground as US President Donald Trump's renewed threat to hit Iran weighs on sentiment and supports the US Dollar.

GBP/USD extends slide below 1.3350 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD is falling below the 1.3350 level in the American session on Thursday. Increased hawkish Fed bets and looming Mideast geopolitical risks sponsor the latest leg up in the US Dollar, particularly after the Producer Price Index jumped to 6.5% YoY in May.

Gold challenges fresh 2025 lows below $4,100

Gold struggles to stage a rebound and trades below $4,100 in the American session on Thursday. Mixed producer inflation data from the US and a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East don't allow the precious metal to shake off the bearish pressure.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound broadens despite continued US-Iran strikes

Bitcoin steadies its recovery on Thursday, edging higher toward $63,000 despite incessant capital outflows. Meanwhile, altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, exhibit subtle rebound signs, trading above $1,650 and $1.12, respectively.

Indonesia surprise rate hike may not be enough to save the Rupiah

The surprise rate hike from Bank Indonesia, aimed at protecting the Indonesian Rupiah from sliding further, seems to have worked for now. The rate increase definitely helps, but there’s more work to do if Jakarta wants to ease investors’ concerns for good.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.