|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD struggles near-six month low, at around $20.60, amid bearish bias

  • XAG/USD hovers around $20.85, attempting to stabilize after a significant drop from $23.30, marking a precarious position near a six-month low.
  • Silver could extend its losses if it fails to conquer $21.69.
  • Short-term consolidation between $20.69 and $21.00 offers a tight trading range, with potential upside resistance at $21.28 and downside support near $20.50.

Silver price (XAG/USD) remained heavy on Wednesday after last week’s more than 6% losses, which witnessed the white metal traveling from around $ 23.30, to a new six-month low of $20.69. However, a downtick in US Treasury bond yields saw XAG/USD trimming some of its losses, exchanging hands at $20.85, down 1.55%.

From a daily chart perspective, the XAG/USD is set to extend its losses, also exacerbated by the break of a ten-month-old upslope support trendline at around $21.65, which opened the door for a fall toward $20.69. If XAG/USD remains below $21.00, that could put into play a re-test of the daily low of $20.69, followed by a drop to the year-to-date (YTD) low of $19.92. Conversely, if Silver's price, climbs past $21.65, the $22.00 figure would be up for grabs.

Short-term, the XAG/USD is consolidating at around the $20.69 - $21.00 area, as seen by the contraction of the Bollinger bands, while price action remains capped on the upside by the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the bottom band on the downside. If Silver buyers lift prices past $21.00, the next stop would be the upper band at $21.28, followed by the October 3 high at $21.39. Conversely if the non-yielding metal drops below $20.69, immediate support would be in the $20.50 area.

XAG/USD Price Action – Hourly chart

XAG/USD Key Technical Levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price20.86
Today Daily Change-0.30
Today Daily Change %-1.42
Today daily open21.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.8
Daily SMA5023.31
Daily SMA10023.46
Daily SMA20023.43
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.39
Previous Daily Low20.68
Previous Weekly High23.65
Previous Weekly Low22.12
Previous Monthly High24.82
Previous Monthly Low22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.96
Daily Pivot Point S120.76
Daily Pivot Point S220.37
Daily Pivot Point S320.06
Daily Pivot Point R121.47
Daily Pivot Point R221.79
Daily Pivot Point R322.18

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds recovery gains near 1.3400 despite soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400 in European trading on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, failing to deter the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. However, the pair's further upside could be limited by ongoing Mideast tensions and sustained US Dollar demand as a haven.

EUR/USD gains ground above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB tone

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1410 during the early European trading hours, bolstered by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid escalating military tensions and recent retaliatory airstrikes between the US and Iran.

Gold ease from two-week top as energy-driven inflation fears bolster Fed hike bets

Gold retreats slightly from a two-week high touched earlier this Wednesday, albeit it retains an intraday bullish bias through the first half of the European session. Hopes that US-Iran diplomacy could ease energy prices and temper hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations undermine the US Dollar, which is seen supporting the commodity. In fact, top negotiators for Iran and the US signaled that they have not walked away from talks.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.