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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable below $26.75-80 confluence breakpoint

  • Silver seemed struggling to capitalize on the overnight bounce from over one-month lows.
  • The set-up seems tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for a further slide.
  • A sustained move beyond the $27.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term bearish outlook.

Silver reversed a modest intraday dip and climbed to the top end of its daily trading range, around the $26.75-80 area during the early European session, albeit lacked follow-through.

The mentioned region coincides with a confluence support breakpoint that comprised of 200-period SMA on the 4-hourly chart and a short-term ascending trend-line extending from mid-January. This, in turn, should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the 1-hourly chart have been gaining traction but are yet to confirm a bullish bias on 4-hourly/daily charts. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the support-turned-resistance before placing bullish bets.

Any subsequent move beyond might confront a strong barrier near the $27.00 area. That said, a convincing breakthrough will negate the near-term bearish bias and push the XAG/USD back towards the $28.00 mark with some intermediate resistance near the $27.60-65 region.

On the flip side, immediate support is pegged near mid-$26.00s. Sustained weakness below will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for an extension of the white metal's recent sharp pullback from the key $30.00 psychological mark.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the fall towards the $26.00 mark before eventually dropping to the $25.45-35 congestion zone. The downfall could further get extended towards the $25.00 level en-route the $24.75-70 area and YTD lows, around the $24.00 mark.

XAG/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price26.76
Today Daily Change0.05
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open26.71
 
Trends
Daily SMA2027.16
Daily SMA5026.5
Daily SMA10025.39
Daily SMA20024.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High26.9
Previous Daily Low25.85
Previous Weekly High28.33
Previous Weekly Low26.14
Previous Monthly High30.07
Previous Monthly Low25.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%26.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%26.25
Daily Pivot Point S126.07
Daily Pivot Point S225.43
Daily Pivot Point S325.02
Daily Pivot Point R127.12
Daily Pivot Point R227.54
Daily Pivot Point R328.18

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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