|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD rally as buyers reclaim the 200-DMA

  • Silver prices sharply rise to $23.40, up 1.47%, following a soft US inflation report fueling expectations of a pause in Fed rate hikes.
  • The metal tests the 200-day moving average at $23.26, potentially extending gains towards $24.00 if the bullish momentum sustains.
  • A failure at the 200-DMA could trigger a pullback towards the 20-DMA at $22.89 and the 50-DMA at $22.64.

Silver price climbs on Wednesday, following last Tuesday’s soft US inflation report, which sent US Treasury bond yields plummeting on expectations the US Federal Reserve is done hiking rates. Hence, the XAG/USD advances sharply, reaching key resistance levels like the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $23.26. If Silver bulls hold price above the latter, the uptrend would likely continue toward year’s end, as buyers target $24.00. The XAG/USD is trading at $23.40, up 1.47%.

From a daily standpoint, the grey metal is neutrally biased, though about to shift neutral-upwards if buyers reclaim the latest cycle high seen at $23.69, October 20 daily high. Upside risks remain above that level, with a seven-month-old resistance trendline at $23.80-90, before challenging $24.00 a troy ounce.

On the other hand, if XAG/USD couldn’t remain above the 200-DMA, that could exacerbate a pullback toward the 20-DMA at $22.89, before sliding to the 50-DMA at $22.64 before challenging the November 13 swing low of $21.88.

XAG/USD Price Analysis – Daily Chart

XAG/USD Technical Levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.43
Today Daily Change0.32
Today Daily Change %1.38
Today daily open23.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.87
Daily SMA5022.66
Daily SMA10023.19
Daily SMA20023.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.19
Previous Daily Low22.3
Previous Weekly High23.26
Previous Weekly Low22.19
Previous Monthly High23.7
Previous Monthly Low20.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.64
Daily Pivot Point S122.54
Daily Pivot Point S221.98
Daily Pivot Point S321.65
Daily Pivot Point R123.43
Daily Pivot Point R223.76
Daily Pivot Point R324.32

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slips toward 1.3350 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD erases recovery gains and slips toward 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, tempering the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. Traders also assess the ongoing Mideast tensions amid a pause in the US Dollar uptrend.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1400 amid US Dollar retreat

EUR/USD holds positive ground above 1.1400 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by hawkish ECB expectations and a broad US Dollar retreat. However, persisting Middle East tensions and surging Oil prices keep the pair's upside elusive.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.