|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD hits fresh more than two-month lows in $23.20s as buck advance continues

  • XAG/USD continues to trade with a downside bias and hit more than two-month lows in the $23.20s on Wednesday.
  • The buck continues to advance, weighing on the pair, amid risk-off flows, geopolitical jitters and Fed tightening bets.

Continued buck buoyancy against the backdrop of still very jittery global market risk appetite (US stocks have pared earlier gains to trade flat again and remain near weekly lows) has kept spot silver (XAG/USD) prices trading with a negative bias. XAG/USD continues to struggle on rebounds back towards its 200-Day Moving Average at $23.83 per troy ounce, with the precious metal printing a fresh more than two-month lows on Wednesday in the $23.20s.

Upcoming US GDP and Core PCE inflation data on Thursday and Friday will likely underpin expectations for the Fed to hike interest rates by 50 bps next week and at its coming meetings, which should, alongside concerning geopolitical developments in Europe, keep USD well supported in the coming days. If stocks resume their recent drop, which seems more likely than not at this stage, falling US (and global) yields on safe-haven bond demand might slow the pace of any XAG/USD decline, but bears will nonetheless be eyeing a test of $23.00.

In the slightly longer-term, bears will target test of annual lows in the $22.00 area, with recent failures to get back above the 200DMA and resistance at $24.00 a bearish sign for XAG/USD, so technicians say. But technicians have also warned that the recent build-up of USD long positions is becoming overstretched. A period of likely means a break below $23.00 isn’t on the cards before the end of this month.

XAG/Usd

Overview
Today last price23.41
Today Daily Change-0.10
Today Daily Change %-0.43
Today daily open23.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.79
Daily SMA5024.88
Daily SMA10023.89
Daily SMA20023.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.93
Previous Daily Low23.4
Previous Weekly High26.22
Previous Weekly Low24.05
Previous Monthly High26.95
Previous Monthly Low23.97
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.73
Daily Pivot Point S123.3
Daily Pivot Point S223.09
Daily Pivot Point S322.77
Daily Pivot Point R123.82
Daily Pivot Point R224.14
Daily Pivot Point R324.35

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks sidelined below 1.1600

EUR/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of the NA session on Thursday, now attempting a consolidative theme in the sub-1.1600 region. A more cautious market mood, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East, together with broad-based strength in the US Dollar, is favouring the continuation of the leg lower in spot.

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold weekly gains despite US-Iran war

The cryptocurrency market is gaining strength on Thursday, building on Wednesday's upswing, which saw Bitcoin reach a weekly high above $74,000. Ethereum and Ripple are moderating their recent gains amid uncertainty stemming from the escalating war in the Middle East.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.