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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bears flirt with 200-hour SMA, just above $23.00 mark

  • Silver witnessed a dramatic turnaround from over a three-week high touched earlier this Tuesday.
  • Slightly oversold RSI on the 1-hour chart might hold back bearish traders from placing fresh bets.
  • Sustained strength back above the $23.55 region is needed for the resumption of the bullish trend.

Silver extended its sharp intraday pullback from the $24.00 mark, or over a three-week high touched earlier this Tuesday and continued losing ground through the early North American session. The white metal has now reversed its gains recorded over the past two trading sessions and was last seen trading just above the $23.00 round figure.

The aforementioned handle coincides with the 200-hour SMA, which is closely followed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the $22.00-$23.99 strong move up. Technical indicators on the 4-hour chart have just started drifting into the negative territory and also retreated sharply on the daily chart, favouring bearish traders.

That said, RSI (14) on the 1-hour chart is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution before placing aggressive bearish bets. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some intraday consolidation or a convincing break below the $23.00 mark before positioning for an extension of the intraday depreciating move.

The next relevant support is pegged near the $22.75 region, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibo. level. Some follow-through selling will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for a slide towards the mid-$22.00 mark. The XAG/USD could eventually drop to challenge the double-bottom support, around the $21.40 region.

On the flip side, any meaningful move back above the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $23.25 region, might now be seen as a selling opportunity and cap the XAG/USD near the $23.55 hurdle. The latter marks the 23.6% Fibo. level, which if cleared decisively will suggest that the corrective slide has run its course and set the stage for a fresh leg up.

Silver 1-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.19
Today Daily Change-0.67
Today Daily Change %-2.81
Today daily open23.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.28
Daily SMA5022.9
Daily SMA10023.23
Daily SMA20024.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.94
Previous Daily Low23.52
Previous Weekly High23.72
Previous Weekly Low22.49
Previous Monthly High24.7
Previous Monthly Low21.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.68
Daily Pivot Point S123.61
Daily Pivot Point S223.36
Daily Pivot Point S323.19
Daily Pivot Point R124.03
Daily Pivot Point R224.19
Daily Pivot Point R324.45

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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