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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD aims to shift auction profile above $24.00

  • Silver price needs to overstep $24.30 for a volatility contraction breakout.
  • The asset is displaying topsy-turvy moves in a range of 23.45-24.30 for the past two weeks.
  • Advancing 200-EMA indicates that the upside trend is still solid.

Silver price (XAG/USD) is failing to sustain above the round-level resistance of $24.00. The white metal is expected to remain sideways as trading activity will remain quiet amid the festive mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply on Friday after a consolidation breakdown of the 103.47-104.57 range.

S&P500 remained choppy on Friday but ended the last trading session of CY2023 with a mild sell-off. The 10-year US Treasury yields benefitted from caution in the global market and climbed to 3.88%.

On a four-hour scale, the Silver price is displaying a volatility contraction chart pattern that displays lackluster performance but a breakout of the same results in heavy volume and wider ticks. The asset is displaying topsy-turvy moves in a range of 23.45-24.30 for the past two weeks.

Meanwhile, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $23.77 is overlapping with the Silver price, which indicates a consolidation on a short-term basis.

While, the 200-period EMA at $22.75 is aiming higher, which indicates that the upside trend is still solid.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates directionless movement as investors await fresh impetus for a decisive move.

For an upside, the Silver price needs to surpass December 21 high at $24.30, which will be a breakout of the volatility contraction and will drive the asset towards April 22 high at $24.67 followed by the psychological resistance at $25.00.

On the flip side, a break below December 16 low at $22.56 will drag the asset toward November 15 high at $22.25. A slippage below the latter will expose the asset for more downside toward November 24 high at $21.68.

Silver four-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.97
Today Daily Change0.03
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open23.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.42
Daily SMA5021.88
Daily SMA10020.51
Daily SMA20021.13
 
Levels
Previous Daily High24.15
Previous Daily Low23.53
Previous Weekly High24.28
Previous Weekly Low23.46
Previous Monthly High24.3
Previous Monthly Low22.03
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.77
Daily Pivot Point S123.59
Daily Pivot Point S223.25
Daily Pivot Point S322.97
Daily Pivot Point R124.21
Daily Pivot Point R224.49
Daily Pivot Point R324.84

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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