|

Silver Price Analysis: Silver is now probably in an uptrend

  • Silver price has probably reversed its short-term downtrend and begun a new uptrend. 
  • It has broken above the May 7 highs – a key sign the short-term trend has reversed. 
  • The possibility now exists for the precious metal to rise back up towards the $30.00 mark. 

Silver (XAG/USD) price might well have changed trend in the short-term after breaking above the key May 7 highs at $27.51. 

The change of trend is significant because of the old saying that “the trend is your friend” – the environment now probably favors longs over shorts. 

4-hour Chart 

Silver has risen strongly since bottoming at the beginning of May. It has broken above the last higher low of the downtrend and breached all the major moving averages – the 50, 100 and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Bullish momentum has been strong during the up move. The sequence of higher highs and higher lows – of peaks and troughs – is now also rising rather than falling. 

The break above the May 7 highs now signals the likelihood of a continuation higher. The first upside target lies at $27.74, and this has almost been met. The next target after that lies at around $28.80 where the consolidation that formed the multiple Head and Shoulders price pattern in the first half of April is concentrated. Beyond that there is the possibility of a retest of the $30.00 long-term range highs.   

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.